Red Star vs Pau: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Red Star occupies a higher position in the table (5th place), but their recent form is poor - only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and 1.2 points per match. Pau, despite being in 10th place, has a better away record with 40% wins and an identical draw rate (40%). A key factor is the high percentage of draws for Red Star at home (44%) and Pau away (40%), suggesting a tendency to split points. Both teams have similar average xG (Red Star 1.38 vs Pau 1.4) and score a similar number of goals at their respective venues. The negative goal difference for both teams (-1 for Red Star in home matches, -2 for Pau away) and comparable conversion rates (10% vs 11%) further strengthen the draw scenario.
Red Star vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star played Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Red Star: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Pau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star scores 1.29 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Pau scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star 43%, Pau 57%. Over 2.5: Red Star 48%, Pau 62%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Pau has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.24. Red Star: 10.9 shots per match, Pau: 13.6.
Match halves
Red Star: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67. Pau: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Red Star: 0-15 (6 goals). Pau: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Red Star occupies a higher position in the table (5th place), but their recent form is poor - only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and 1.2 points per match. Pau, despite being in 10th place, has a better away record with 40% wins and an identical draw rate (40%). A key factor is the high percentage of draws for Red Star at home (44%) and Pau away (40%), suggesting a tendency to split points. Both teams have similar average xG (Red Star 1.38 vs Pau 1.4) and score a similar number of goals at their respective venues. The negative goal difference for both teams (-1 for Red Star in home matches, -2 for Pau away) and comparable conversion rates (10% vs 11%) further strengthen the draw scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Red Star is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Red Star · 1 pts / match - Pau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pau is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Red Star · 1.43 goals / match - Pau
Red Star is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Red Star · 1.57 goals / match - Pau
Red Star scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Pau scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Red Star
Over / Under - Pau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star
Pau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Red Star | Liga | Pau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.47 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Red Star 1 - 0 - 0 Pau. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star vs Pau?
The Ligue 2 match finished Red Star 0:3 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star vs Pau?
Red Star score 1.29 goals per game on average and Pau 1.43. The Ligue 2 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Red Star's matches and 57% of Pau's.
What form are Red Star and Pau in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Pau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star vs Pau?
The statistical background for Red Star vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.