Reggiana vs Carrarese: match statistics
Reggiana vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Reggiana played Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Reggiana: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Carrarese: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Reggiana scores 0.94 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.33 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Reggiana 58%, Carrarese 48%. Over 2.5: Reggiana 52%, Carrarese 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.13. Reggiana: 10.5 shots per match, Carrarese: 12.9.
Match halves
Reggiana: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.42. Carrarese: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Reggiana: 16-30 (7 goals). Carrarese: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Carrarese). Carrarese sit 9th in the table versus Reggiana’s 20th and have scored 44 goals this season compared to the home side’s 31; in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 9 and conceded 3, while Reggiana have scored just 2 and conceded 12. The form gap is clear: Carrarese average 2.0 points per match over the last five fixtures, Reggiana only 0.2, translating into 3 wins and 1 draw for the visitors versus 0 wins and 4 losses for the hosts in that period. Carrarese also show better shot-to-goal efficiency (conversion 11% vs 9%), higher average xG (1.30 vs 1.26) and greater possession (49% vs 43%), indicating game control and higher quality chances. Although Reggiana statistically concede 1.38 goals at home versus 1.75 conceded by Carrarese away, Reggiana’s 12 goals conceded in their last five matches expose serious defensive issues, so I favor the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long statistics show a conflict: Carrarese has BTTS at 69% this season, Reggiana only 29%, and the league average BTTS is 55%, which broadly favors a Both Teams To Score scenario. The decisive form argument is the last 5 matches: Reggiana conceded an average of 2.4 goals and scored 0.4 goals per game, while Carrarese averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, so Reggiana has been vulnerable to goals recently and Carrarese is regularly finding the net. xG comparison confirms goal potential on both sides: Reggiana has season xG_for 1.53 versus xG_against_away 1.51, and Carrarese xG_for 1.30 versus xG_against_home 1.26, suggesting genuine goal-scoring opportunities for both teams. The counterargument is Reggiana’s strong home metric — 53% clean sheets at home and a season average of 0.88 goals conceded by hosts — which lowers the BTTS probability, but this advantage has been undermined by poor recent form (2.4 goals conceded in the last 5). Weighing season indicators (Carrarese 69% BTTS, Reggiana 29% BTTS) and the strong signal from the last 5 matches, I assess BTTS probability at 65% vs 35% and recommend a
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects a total expected goals of 2.80 (xG Reggiana 1.52 vs xG Carrarese 1.28), which is above the league average of 2.56 and places the match beyond the 2.5 threshold. Season-to-date over-2.5 rates are 41% for Reggiana and 56% for Carrarese (average ~48%), and in the last 5 matches Reggiana had 60% over 2.5 while Carrarese had 40%, yielding a mixed but moderate signal in favor of the over. Reggiana have scored only 2 and conceded 12 in their last five (0.4 scored and 2.4 conceded per match), whereas Carrarese have scored 9 and conceded 3 (1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded), which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Additionally, average shots 14.06 (home) vs 11.63 (away), SOT 4.41 vs 3.75 and BTTS 29% (home) vs 69% (away) suggest the visitors frequently score and the overall attacking intensity supports an over. Based on xG 2.80, current form and seasonal stats, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Reggiana draw at half-time in 65% of matches and lead at the break in only 18%, so the most common scoreline at 45 minutes is a draw. The home side win 41% of their home matches, have a higher xG (1.53 versus Carrarese’s 1.30) and in the second half average 0.94 goals scored and 0.47 conceded (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.94 vs conceded_2hg_avg_home 0.47), which gives them an advantage after the break. Carrarese have only a 19% away win rate and concede on average 1.75 goals per away game, and their fixtures are often both-teams-to-score (BTTS 69%), which reduces the likelihood that they will complete a turnaround after a half-time draw. Reggiana keep a clean sheet at half-time in 71% of cases (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 71), so the scenario draw at half-time and a home win at full-time is the strongest signal. Therefore the strongest HT/FT pick is X/1, which I assign the highest probability of 28%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Reggiana | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrarese is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Reggiana · 2 pts / match - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Reggiana · 1.33 goals / match - Carrarese
Carrarese is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Reggiana · 1.3 goals / match - Carrarese
Reggiana scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
Carrarese scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Reggiana keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Reggiana
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Reggiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Reggiana
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Reggiana | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.55 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Reggiana 0 - 1 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Reggiana 2:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Reggiana vs Carrarese?
Reggiana score 0.94 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Reggiana's matches and 48% of Carrarese's.
What form are Reggiana and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Reggiana have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Carrarese 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reggiana vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Reggiana vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.