Remo vs Santos: match statistics

Santos are clearly the stronger side based on current form: they have collected 13 points from their last five matches, recording 4 wins and a draw, while Remo have managed just 1 point and lost 4 games. During this period, the visitors scored 8 goals and conceded only 3, whereas the hosts scored 5 and allowed 9. Across the season as a whole, Santos also boast the better attacking record, with 39 goals compared to Remo’s 31. Away from home, Santos score an average of 1.58 goals per match with a 12% conversion rate, compared to Remo’s 1.31 goals and 10% at home. Remo do have slightly better defensive figures on their own ground, conceding an average of 1.31 goals compared to Santos’ 1.75 away from home, but they have kept a clean sheet in only 15% of matches. Santos’ superior current form and greater consistency in front of goal point towards an away win, although the high draw rates recorded by both teams increase the risk of the points being shared.

The long-term profile clearly supports goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 64% of Remo’s matches and as many as 75% of Santos’ games, compared with the league average of 59%. Remo concede an average of 1.29 goals per match, while Santos concede 1.75, with both teams creating a solid number of chances: average xG stands at 1.53 for the hosts and 1.38 for the visitors. Remo’s recent defensive line has been particularly vulnerable, conceding 9 goals and 1.84 xG against them across five matches, while Santos scored 8 goals during this period. Santos have been significantly tighter defensively of late, conceding just 3 goals in their last five games, but despite their poor run, Remo recorded BTTS in 80% of those matches and should benefit from home advantage. The BTTS scenario is therefore more likely, although Santos’ improved defence reduces its edge over the outcome in which one team fails to score.

Over 1.5 goals is supported by the very high frequency of such matches: this line has been surpassed in 93% of Remo’s games and 83% of Santos’ games. Remo concede an average of 1.29 goals per match, rising to 1.80 across their last five appearances, giving Santos real scope to capitalize on their average of 1.58 goals and xG of 1.38. The hosts create an average xG of 1.53, while Santos’ defense allows 1.67 xG, although the visitors’ strong recent run, with just 0.60 goals conceded on average, limits the case for higher lines. Both teams average 4.0 shots on target per match, while the percentage of games in which both teams scored stands at 64% for Remo and 75% for Santos. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5, as two or more goals is clearly a more frequent scenario than a goalless or one-goal match, with a more cautious assessment of Over 2.5 and Over 3.5.

Santos are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Remo have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The visitors were leading at the break in 80% of their last five appearances, whereas the hosts had been ahead only once during the same period and scored just 0.2 goals per match before half-time. Across the season, Santos average 1.58 goals, while Remo’s defence allows 1.29 goals per game, further supporting the scenario of the visitors establishing a goalscoring advantage. Remo do have a better season points tally, 1.57 compared with 1.08, but current form and Santos’ superiority in first halves point most strongly towards a lead at the break for the visitors and a final victory.