Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: match statistics

Dolomiti Bellunesi remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, and have collected 11 points from their last five matches thanks to 3 wins and 2 draws. Renate are in clear crisis, having lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring just 5 goals and conceding as many as 12. At home, the hosts have lost both of their matches so far, averaging 0.5 goals scored and failing to keep a single clean sheet, while the visitors have won both away games with an average of 2 goals scored. Dolomiti Bellunesi are also significantly more clinical, converting 19% of their shots compared with Renate’s mere 4%, despite the hosts enjoying more possession at 60%. Renate’s home xG stands at 1.63, but their poor finishing and a defence conceding an average of 1.5 goals indicate that a victory for the more solid visitors is the likelier outcome.

The signal for both teams to score is supported by recent results: Renate recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, while Dolomiti Bellunesi did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, while the visitors scored 1.4 goals per game, clearly increasing their chances of finding the net. Renate averaged only 1.0 goals per match in their last five appearances, but created chances worth an average of 1.66 xG, while the visitors' defence allowed opponents 1.70 xG. Dolomiti Bellunesi are in better form, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches, but have not kept a clean sheet in the available season data. The BTTS edge is moderate, as the league records this outcome in only 47% of matches, but the combination of Renate's weak defence and the visitors' vulnerability to conceding goals supports the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Renate’s recent form points toward goals: over their last 5 matches, the team averaged 1.0 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.4, with 4 of 5 games going over 2.5 goals. Dolomiti Bellunesi have been more defensively stable, averaging 0.8 goals conceded across five matches, but they also scored 1.4 goals per game. The attacking potential of both sides is supported by their xG figures: Renate averaged 1.66 xG, while Dolomiti recorded 1.22, alongside high xG conceded by both defenses—1.72 and 1.70, respectively. Over 1.5 goals is the stronger option, as the hosts’ defensive weaknesses, combined with 80% of Renate’s and 60% of Dolomiti’s matches finishing above 2.5 goals in their last five outings, clearly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal game at most.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Dolomiti Bellunesi win at the final whistle, as according to the current data, both teams have gone into the dressing room level at the break in 100% of their matches so far. In their last five games, Renate have been behind at half-time in 60% of cases, while Dolomiti Bellunesi have not trailed at the break once, recording 60% draws and 40% leads. The hosts’ form is clearly weaker: they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, and have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors are unbeaten and average 2.2 points per game. After half-time, Dolomiti Bellunesi score an average of 1.0 goals and concede 0.8, while Renate score just 0.4 and concede 1.2 goals. The visitors’ superiority in chance quality is also reflected in 4.5 shots on target per match compared with Renate’s 1.0, so the most likely outcome is a second-half turnaround in favour of the away side.