Renate vs Treviso: match statistics

Treviso remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Renate have failed to win during the same period, collecting just 2 points. The visitors have scored 6 goals in their last five games, while their defense has conceded just 4, compared with Renate’s 10. At home, the hosts average only 0.33 goals and have failed to score in 67% of such matches, despite creating chances worth an average of 1.53 xG. Treviso average 1.33 goals away from home, have an xG of 1.54, and have scored in every away match, highlighting significantly greater attacking consistency. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 67% of Treviso’s away matches have ended level, but current form and Renate’s finishing problems favor the visitors.

The signal for goals from both sides is strengthened by Renate’s current form: BTTS landed in 80% of their last 5 matches, while the team conceded an average of 2.0 goals. Treviso recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five appearances and have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, conceding an average of 1.67 goals. The hosts are nevertheless creating solid chances, with an average xG of 1.73 and 4.67 shots on target per match, so they should be able to exploit the weaknesses in the visitors’ defense. Treviso also have offensive arguments in their favor, as their recent xG stands at 1.73, while Renate allowed opponents an xG of 1.62 during this period. Treviso’s exceptionally high season BTTS rate of 100% further tilts the prediction toward a scenario in which both teams score.

Renate create chances worth an average of 1.73 xG at home and record 15.67 shots per match, while Treviso allow opponents 1.67 xG away from home. The visitors average 1.33 goals away, have scored in every such match, and both teams have found the net in 100% of their games, which significantly increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Renate’s last five appearances produced an average of 2.0 goals conceded and 80% of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals, despite their previously solid home defence conceding just 0.33 goals per match. Treviso generated 1.73 xG across their last five matches, so they should be able to take advantage of the hosts’ recent decline in defensive stability. The Over 1.5 goals line offers the greatest value, as the projected total of 2.67 goals exceeds it by more than one goal, while the 2.5 line remains considerably more balanced.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Treviso win, as Renate were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Treviso. During this period, the visitors conceded no goals before the break, while Renate averaged just 0.4 goals in the first half. After half-time, the hosts show a clear defensive decline, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, whereas Treviso average 0.8 goals in this period. Current form also favours the visitors: Treviso are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 40% wins and 60% draws, while Renate have failed to win any of their last five games and lost 60% of them. Although Renate have the higher xG, 1.73 compared with 1.54, their poor 6% finishing rate and Treviso’s solid organisation before the break increase the likelihood of a late turnaround in favour of the visitors.