Rennes vs Nantes: match statistics
Rennes vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rennes played Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rennes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nantes: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rennes scores 1.73 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Nantes scores 0.83 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rennes 53%, Nantes 47%. Over 2.5: Rennes 67%, Nantes 43%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Rennes has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.13. Rennes: 14.0 shots per match, Nantes: 10.6.
Match halves
Rennes: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.90. Nantes: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Rennes: 16-30 (15 goals). Nantes: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rennes has a clear offensive and control advantage at home: they average 1.73 goals per game, register 5.53 shots on target and have xG 1.84 with 54% possession. Nantes away score only 0.67 goals on average, have 2.8 shots on target and xG 1.00, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 7% versus Rennes’ 11%. In the last 5 matches Rennes scored 10 goals and averages 2.0 points per game, while Nantes scored 3 goals and averages 0.6 pts/game (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Defensively Nantes concedes 1.47 goals away and has a -12 goal difference on the road, whereas Rennes concedes 1.00 at home and has a +11 difference; additionally Nantes fail to score in 53% of away matches versus 20% of Rennes’ home matches without a goal. Considering the higher xG (1.84 vs 1.00), greater number of shots on target (5.53 vs 2.8) and superiority in form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts per game), I predict a Rennes win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a slight edge for the BTTS scenario: Rennes has a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% versus Nantes' 40%, with the league BTTS average at 49%. Rennes has recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and averages 2.0 goals (10 goals in 5 matches), while Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches (0.6 per match), highlighting the visitors' weaker attacking output. Rennes concedes 1.8 goals per match on average this season and has only 13% home clean sheets, so the hosts frequently allow opponents to score; Nantes averages 0.67 goals away, which limits their ability to break through. xG metrics confirm Rennes creates more chances (xG 2.06 in the last 5 matches) than Nantes (xG 1.31), but Nantes has a seasonal xG_for_avg_away of 1.0 and can generate opportunities on the road. Considering Rennes' low clean sheet rate (13%) and Nantes' poor scoring form (0.67 goals away), I pick BTTS - Yes as more likely (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG comparison yields a combined projection of about 2.68 goals: Rennes has attacking xG 1.27, Nantes concedes away xG 1.66, giving expected xG for Rennes ≈ (1.27+1.66)/2 = 1.47; Nantes has attacking xG 1.00, while Rennes concedes at home xG 1.42, hence expected xG for Nantes ≈ 1.21. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.68 indicates over 1.5 has ~74.8% probability (≈75%), over 2.5 ≈50.1% (≈50%), and over 3.5 ≈28.1% (≈28%). Additionally, Rennes scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game) and had 80% of games over 2.5 in that period, while Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6 per game). Season metrics support goals: Rennes at home has 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals, Nantes away 80%, and BTTS occurs in 53% of Rennes matches and 40% of Nantes matches. As a result the strongest signal is over 1.5 (side: Over, line: 1.5) — this is the largest edge (~75%) based on xG 1.47 vs 1.21, Rennes’s recent form and the high share of matches with at least one goal for both teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rennes has a clear form advantage and dominates in the Half-Time market: in the last 5 matches they have a record 'ldwww' with 3 wins (60%) and led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), scoring on average 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.4. Nantes have not won in the last 5 (0 of 5) and led at the break only in 20% (1 of 5), scoring 0.4 goals by half-time while conceding 0.6. Rennes generates more high-quality chances: xG 1.27 versus Nantes 1.00, averaging 11.73 shots versus 9.4 and 3.33 on target versus 2.8, with conversion rates 9% vs 7%, which increases the hosts’ chance of scoring. Additionally, Rennes averages 1.8 second-half goals in the last 5 matches versus Nantes’ 1.0, and seasonally has 80% of matches with a goal by half-time vs Nantes’ 53%, so the most likely scenario is Rennes leading at half-time and winning Full-Time; therefore I assign 40% to 1/1, with X/1 (18%) and 1/X (12%) as the most probable alternatives, and the remaining options totaling 30% due to Nantes’ poorer form and lower xG.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rennes | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rennes is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Rennes · 0.6 pts / match - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Rennes · 0.83 goals / match - Nantes
Rennes is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Rennes · 1.63 goals / match - Nantes
Rennes scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Nantes scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rennes
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Rennes · 1.13 pts / match - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rennes
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Rennes | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rennes 0 - 1 - 0 Nantes. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rennes vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Rennes 2:1 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rennes vs Nantes?
Rennes score 1.73 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.83. The Ligue 1 average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rennes's matches and 47% of Nantes's.
What form are Rennes and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Rennes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nantes 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rennes vs Nantes?
The statistical background for Rennes vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.