Resistencia vs Independiente FBC: match statistics
Resistencia vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Resistencia played Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Resistencia: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Independiente FBC: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Resistencia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Independiente FBC scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Resistencia 50%, Independiente FBC 50%. Over 2.5: Resistencia 50%, Independiente FBC 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Resistencia has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.30. Resistencia: 12.0 shots per match, Independiente FBC: 10.5.
Match halves
Resistencia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Independiente FBC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Resistencia: 31-45+ (1 goals). Independiente FBC: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Independiente FBC). In their last 5 matches Independiente have 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, while Resistencia sit on 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with an average of 1.0 point. Independiente score 2.0 goals on the road with a shot conversion of 22% and 50% possession, whereas Resistencia average 1.0 goal per home match with only 8% conversion despite 13 shots and 6 on target. Defensively the hosts are poor — they concede 3.0 goals per home game and have let in 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while Independiente have conceded just 3 in that period. Although Resistencia have higher average home xG (1.8 vs 1.06), their low finishing and 100% home loss rate favour the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and recent form analysis suggests both teams have realistic scoring chances: home xG is 1.53 vs xG against the visitors 1.21 (forecast average ~1.37), and away xG is 1.06 vs xG against the hosts 0.91 (average ~0.99), meaning both sides have around one expected goal. Independiente scores on average 2.0 goals this season vs Resistencia’s 1.0 and has a higher shot conversion 22% vs 8%, despite fewer shots on target (2 vs 5), so the visitors are efficient with their chances. In the last 5 matches Resistencia had BTTS 80% and conceded on average 1.8 goals (9 in 5), while Independiente had BTTS 40% and conceded 0.6 (3 in 5), indicating the hosts have recently been involved more often in Goal/Goal matches. Seasonal stats are divergent (Resistencia season BTTS 0% and 100% clean sheets vs Independiente season BTTS 100%), and the league has BTTS 56% and an average 3.06 goals per match, so I place more weight on xG and the last five games. On that basis I forecast a 70% probability for BTTS - Yes and 30% for No, because xG (1.37 vs 0.99), the seasonal away scoring average 2.0 and Resistencia’s 9 conceded goals in the last 5 strongly support a both-teams-to-score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Resistencia (xG_for 1.53 vs opponents’ xG_against 1.21) and 0.99 for Independiente FBC (xG_for 1.06 vs hosts’ xG_against 0.91), totalling 2.36 goals. Under a Poisson distribution with λ=2.36 the probability of over 1.5 goals is roughly 68% (1−P(0)−P(1)≈0.684), over 2.5 ≈42%, and over 3.5 ≈22%. Additionally, the hosts average 5 shots on target and 12 shots per match, while Independiente posts a high finishing rate of 22% and a seasonal average of 2.0 goals scored, increasing the chance of at least two goals. Although Resistencia has a seasonal clean sheet rate of 100% and averages 1.0 goal per match, the strongest signal from the data is over 1.5 (68% likelihood); therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time/Full-Time analysis strongly indicates a draw at the break: the home team have been level at half-time in 100% of matches, and the away team likewise in 100%, so HT X is the most likely. Despite this, the pre-match favorite for the final result is the home side — they have a 100% win rate this season and average 3.0 points per match, whereas the visitors average 1.0 point and have finished all their games as draws. The home team generate higher xG (1.53 versus the visitors’ 1.06), register more shots on target (5.0 vs 2.0) and score on average 1.0 goals in the second half, winning 100% of second halves. On this basis I project a half-time draw and a home victory at full-time (X/1) with an estimated probability of 80%, while a full-time draw is priced at 15% and an away turnaround after the break at 5%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Resistencia | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente FBC is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Resistencia · 2 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Resistencia · 1.5 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Resistencia · 1 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Resistencia scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Independiente FBC scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Resistencia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Resistencia
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Resistencia is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Resistencia · 1 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Resistencia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Resistencia
Independiente FBC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Resistencia | Liga | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Away team
Substitutes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Resistencia 2 - 0 - 0 Independiente FBC. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Resistencia vs Independiente FBC?
The Division Intermedia match finished Resistencia 0:0 Independiente FBC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Resistencia and Independiente FBC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 2, Independiente FBC won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Resistencia vs Independiente FBC?
Resistencia score 1.00 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.50. The Division Intermedia average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Resistencia's matches and 50% of Independiente FBC's.
What form are Resistencia and Independiente FBC in?
Over the last 5 games Resistencia have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Independiente FBC 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Resistencia vs Independiente FBC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.