Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rēzekne / BJSS played JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: OC Rēzekne Mākslīgais Laukums. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rēzekne / BJSS: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. JFK Ventspils: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rēzekne / BJSS scores 0.82 and concedes 3.18 goals per match. JFK Ventspils scores 1.10 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rēzekne / BJSS 55%, JFK Ventspils 60%. Over 2.5: Rēzekne / BJSS 82%, JFK Ventspils 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
JFK Ventspils has higher xG: 1.36 vs 0.70. Rēzekne / BJSS: 2.6 shots per match, JFK Ventspils: 6.3.
Match halves
Rēzekne / BJSS: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.45. JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Rēzekne / BJSS: 46-60 (3 goals). JFK Ventspils: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JFK Ventspils holds a clear advantage in chance creation and current form: in the last 5 matches they scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while Rēzekne/BJSS scored 6 goals and average 0.6 points per game. The visitors average 11.33 shots per match, about 6 of which are on target, and have an average xG of 1.73, whereas the hosts attempt only 5 shots (3.67 on target) and have an xG of 0.9, indicating a significant Ventspils edge in chance quality. The home defense is particularly prone to conceding — Rēzekne concedes 3.17 goals at home on average (35 conceded this season) versus 2.6 conceded by Ventspils away (19 conceded this season); neither team has kept a clean sheet (0%). Additionally, Ventspils have not had a single away game without scoring (0% such matches), while the hosts failed to score in 17% of their home matches, giving the visitors a real offensive advantage. Despite the hosts’ higher shot conversion rate (27% vs 18%), their low volume of attempts limits their potential, so I predict a Ventspils win ('2') with probability 60%, draw 25% and home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from the visitors: JFK Ventspils has a seasonal BTTS 100%, scores on average 1.8 goals and concedes 2.6 per match and has not recorded a single clean sheet (CS 0%), which clearly indicates that visitors’ matches regularly see goals from both sides. Hosts Rēzekne/BJSS score only 0.4 goals seasonally and have an 80% ‘did not score’ rate, which seasonally reduces the chance of BTTS, but their last 5 matches show BTTS at 80% with an average of 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded. xG and shot statistics confirm the dynamic: hosts’ xG is 1.14, visitors’ xG 1.73; hosts concede on average 1.29 xG against, visitors 1.64; visitors register 6.0 shots on target per match vs 2.4 for hosts and have a conversion of 18% versus 6%. Given the league average of 3.51 goals per match and that visitors’ matches are 100% over 2.5 goals, the short-term signals (last 5 matches) and the visitors’ seasonal profile combine into a strong argument for both teams to score. I therefore assess BTTS probability at 75% for 'yes' (Goal/Goal) and 25% for 'no' (No Goal), recommending 'yes' as the best play.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for the home side and 1.52 for the away side, totaling 2.76 expected goals. These figures come from combining season values (for the home team (xG_for_home 1.14 + xG_against_away 1.64)/2 = 1.39 and for the away team (xG_for_away 1.73 + xG_against_home 1.29)/2 = 1.51) and the averages from the last 5 matches (for the home team (0.86+1.30)/2 = 1.08 and for the away team (1.45+1.62)/2 = 1.535), whose mean yields 1.24 and 1.52. Shot statistics confirm Ventspils' superiority: the visitors average 11.33 shots and 6.0 on target with an 18% conversion, while the home team averages 6.2 shots, 2.4 on target and a 6% conversion, which increases the likelihood of goals for the away side. Season metrics and current form indicate a propensity for high-scoring games: the visitors have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, the home team has 100% over 2.5 in the last 5 matches, and the league average is 3.51 goals (68% over 2.5). From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.76 the probabilities are approximately 76% for OVER 1.5, 52% for OVER 2.5 and 30% for OVER 3.5, therefore the strongest and safest signal from the data is OVER 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors demonstrate markedly superior offensive efficiency: the hosts average 0.4 goals per match versus 1.8 for the visitors, with xG of 1.14 for the hosts and 1.73 for the visitors. The hosts did not lead at the break in any of their matches (0.0%), whereas the visitors led at the break in 2 of 5 fixtures (40.0%) and the hosts were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 matches (60.0%), which increases the likelihood of the visitors holding a lead after 45 minutes. Additionally, the visitors average 6.0 shots on target with an 18% conversion rate, while the hosts average 2.4 SOT with a 6% conversion rate; the visitors’ matches also show BTTS 100.0% and an average of 2.8 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_away 2.8), so I expect further scoring in the second half. Based on these figures the most probable and strongest signal is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rēzekne / BJSS | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 59% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JFK Ventspils is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 0.8 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JFK Ventspils is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1.1 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.18 goals / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1.9 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Rēzekne / BJSS scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
JFK Ventspils scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Rēzekne / BJSS keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rēzekne / BJSS
Over / Under - JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JFK Ventspils is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 0.9 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rēzekne / BJSS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rēzekne / BJSS
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rēzekne / BJSS | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.49 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rēzekne / BJSS 0 - 1 - 1 JFK Ventspils. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Rēzekne / BJSS 1:1 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rēzekne / BJSS and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rēzekne / BJSS won 0, JFK Ventspils won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
Rēzekne / BJSS score 0.82 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.10. The 1. Liga average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Rēzekne / BJSS's matches and 60% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Rēzekne / BJSS and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Rēzekne / BJSS have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.