RFC Liege vs Lommel United: match statistics
Lommel United displays clearly superior form, winning all of their last five matches and earning an average of 3 points per match, whereas RFC Liege is achieving only 2 points per match in recent outings. The visitors stand out with impressive offensive efficiency, tallying 43 goals this season and averaging 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in just 9% of games. Lommel United occupies 3rd place with an 11-5-4 record, while the hosts rank 6th with a visibly weaker record of 10-3-7. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.68 xG For vs 1.39 xG Against on the road), indicating their qualitative advantage. Additionally, Lommel possesses better shot conversion (15% vs 14%) and more shots on target per match (6.18 vs 4.7), confirming their offensive dominance. Although RFC Liege wins 50% of their home matches, Lommel United's current form and statistical advantage argue for their victory in this clash.
RFC Liege vs Lommel United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RFC Liege played Lommel United in First Division B (Belgium). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
RFC Liege: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lommel United: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RFC Liege scores 1.50 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Lommel United scores 2.15 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RFC Liege 35%, Lommel United 65%. Over 2.5: RFC Liege 40%, Lommel United 70%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lommel United has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.36. RFC Liege: 11.6 shots per match, Lommel United: 15.3.
Match halves
RFC Liege: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.40. Lommel United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
RFC Liege: 31-45+ (9 goals). Lommel United: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division B: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lommel United displays clearly superior form, winning all of their last five matches and earning an average of 3 points per match, whereas RFC Liege is achieving only 2 points per match in recent outings. The visitors stand out with impressive offensive efficiency, tallying 43 goals this season and averaging 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in just 9% of games. Lommel United occupies 3rd place with an 11-5-4 record, while the hosts rank 6th with a visibly weaker record of 10-3-7. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.68 xG For vs 1.39 xG Against on the road), indicating their qualitative advantage. Additionally, Lommel possesses better shot conversion (15% vs 14%) and more shots on target per match (6.18 vs 4.7), confirming their offensive dominance. Although RFC Liege wins 50% of their home matches, Lommel United's current form and statistical advantage argue for their victory in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RFC Liege | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lommel United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - RFC Liege · 3 pts / match - Lommel United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lommel United is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - RFC Liege · 2.15 goals / match - Lommel United
RFC Liege is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - RFC Liege · 1.5 goals / match - Lommel United
RFC Liege scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Lommel United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Lommel United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while RFC Liege keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RFC Liege
Over / Under - Lommel United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RFC Liege is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - RFC Liege · 1.4 pts / match - Lommel United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RFC Liege - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lommel United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RFC Liege
Lommel United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division B).
Teams vs league
| RFC Liege | Liga | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RFC Liege 1 - 0 - 0 Lommel United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
The First Division B match finished RFC Liege 1:0 Lommel United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
RFC Liege score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lommel United 2.15. The First Division B average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 35% of RFC Liege's matches and 65% of Lommel United's.
What form are RFC Liege and Lommel United in?
Over the last 5 games RFC Liege have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lommel United 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.