Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion: match statistics
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rhode Island played Birmingham Legion in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Rhode Island: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Birmingham Legion: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rhode Island scores 1.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Birmingham Legion scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rhode Island 67%, Birmingham Legion 50%. Over 2.5: Rhode Island 67%, Birmingham Legion 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Rhode Island has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.28. Rhode Island: 15.5 shots per match, Birmingham Legion: 12.0.
Match halves
Rhode Island: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.33. Birmingham Legion: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Rhode Island: 61-75 (4 goals). Birmingham Legion: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rhode Island has a very strong home defense — conceding 0.33 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of appearances, while Birmingham concedes 2.5 goals on average away and has no clean sheets. In attack the hosts score 1.67 goals per game at home with xG of 1.81, whereas Birmingham averages 2.0 goals away with a lower xG of 1.22, though they display a higher shot conversion rate (19% vs 10%). Rhode Island has scored 8 and conceded only 2 in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 points per game), while Birmingham has 7 scored and 7 conceded in their last five (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, 1.2 points per game). Additionally the hosts create more opportunities — 16.67 shots and 4.67 on target at home versus Birmingham’s 10.5 shots and 4.0 on target away. Considering the superior quality of chances (xG 1.81 vs 1.22), the hosts’ excellent defense and the visitors’ lack of away wins, I give Rhode Island a higher probability of winning, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes — the primary signal is Birmingham, which has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, concedes on average 2.5 goals per game and has xG against of 2.05. Rhode Island seasonally scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75, has 50% clean sheets and a seasonal BTTS of 25%, which argues against a both-teams-to-score scenario, but in the last 5 matches the home side has improved to 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded (8 scored and 2 conceded). Birmingham in the last 5 matches averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (7 scored and 7 conceded) and records 4.0 shots on target and a 19% conversion versus Rhode Island’s 2.75 shots on target and 6% conversion, giving Birmingham greater offensive efficiency. Additionally, attacking xG are 1.32 for Rhode Island and 1.22 for Birmingham, while Birmingham’s xG against of 2.05 makes expected chances favor goals from both sides. Considering the extreme 100% BTTS signal on Birmingham’s side, the higher average goals conceded of 2.5 and the recent 5-match profile, I assess the probability of BTTS at 75% versus 25% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts total expected goals around 2.88: Rhode Island ~1.69 (1.32 home attacking xG vs Birmingham’s 2.05 defensive xG allowed averages to 1.69) and Birmingham ~1.19 (1.22 away attacking xG vs home defensive xG allowed 1.16 = 1.19). Under a Poisson distribution this total implies roughly a 78% probability for Over 1.5 (P>=2 ≈78%) and about 55% for Over 2.5 (P>=3 ≈54.6%), while Over 3.5 looks weaker (~32%). Additionally, Birmingham shows strong offensive signals this season: 4.0 shots on target on average, a 19% conversion rate and in available data 100% of matches over 2.5, which increases the likelihood of away goals. Rhode Island averages 0.75 goals this season, but in the last 5 matches their scoring average rose to 1.6 with only 0.4 conceded, which slightly lowers the expected home goals. Considering the combined expected total of 2.88 and Birmingham’s high efficiency and historical away overs, the strongest signal is a bet on Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In first halves Birmingham holds a clear advantage: in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games and scored 6 first-half goals compared to Rhode Island’s 2. On average Birmingham scores 1.5 goals by half-time versus the hosts’ 0.5, while seasonally Rhode Island concedes 0.0 goals before the break. After the break the data favors the hosts — in the last 5 matches Rhode Island scores an average of 1.2 second-half goals versus Birmingham’s 0.4, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround. xG and finishing metrics show Rhode Island generates 1.32 xG versus Birmingham’s 1.22, but the visitors allow many chances (xG against Birmingham = 2.05) and convert their opportunities far better (19% conversion with an average of 4.0 SOT vs the hosts’ 6% and 2.75 SOT). Therefore the strongest signal is Birmingham to lead at half-time with the match finishing level — I favor the 2/X scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rhode Island | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rhode Island is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rhode Island · 1.2 pts / match - Birmingham Legion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rhode Island is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Rhode Island · 1.17 goals / match - Birmingham Legion
Rhode Island scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Birmingham Legion scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rhode Island
Over / Under - Birmingham Legion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Birmingham Legion is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Rhode Island · 2 pts / match - Birmingham Legion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rhode Island - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Birmingham Legion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rhode Island
Birmingham Legion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Rhode Island | Liga | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Rhode Island 3 - 1 - 0 Birmingham Legion. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
The USL Championship match finished Rhode Island 1:3 Birmingham Legion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rhode Island and Birmingham Legion?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Rhode Island won 3, Birmingham Legion won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Rhode Island score 1.83 goals per game on average and Birmingham Legion 1.17. The USL Championship average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Rhode Island's matches and 50% of Birmingham Legion's.
What form are Rhode Island and Birmingham Legion in?
Over the last 5 games Rhode Island have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Birmingham Legion 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.