Rhode Island vs Louisville City: match statistics
Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rhode Island played Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rhode Island: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rhode Island scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rhode Island 71%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Rhode Island 57%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.88. Rhode Island: 16.5 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Rhode Island: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Rhode Island: 16-30 (7 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rhode Island have significantly stronger home metrics: they average 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Louisville City concede as many as 2.09 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 18 shots and 6 on target with an xG of 1.97, compared with 13.64 shots, 4.82 on target and an xG of 1.71 for the visitors. Rhode Island’s defence looks considerably more stable, as evidenced by an xGA of 0.98 and clean sheets in 40% of their home matches; Louisville keep a clean sheet in only 18% of away games. Both teams have scored 5 goals in their last five matches and averaged 1.2 points per game over that period, so the form advantage is limited. However, home advantage, Rhode Island’s 50% home win rate and Louisville’s 45% away defeat rate all point towards a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Louisville City has a very strong seasonal BTTS signal, with BTTS landing in 82% of matches, while the team failed to score in none of its games. The visitors average 2.00 goals scored but concede 2.09, and their low 18% clean-sheet rate significantly increases Rhode Island’s chances of finding the net. The hosts create plenty of chances, posting an xG of 2.13 and averaging 6.0 shots on target, while Louisville’s defence allows an average xG of 1.54. The main argument against this pick is Rhode Island’s weaker recent run, with BTTS landing in only 20% of matches, while both teams have scored and conceded 1.0 goal per game across their last five fixtures. Despite this cautionary factor, the combination of Louisville’s consistently productive attack and the visitors’ vulnerable defence gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 73% of Rhode Island’s matches and in as many as 91% of Louisville City’s games, providing strong support for the low line. Louisville City score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while the hosts concede in 73% of their appearances, so the visitors should make a significant contribution to the total. Rhode Island generate an average of 2.13 xG and register 6.00 shots on target per match, while Louisville City allow opponents an average of 2.09 goals and 1.54 xG. Caution around higher lines is warranted by the teams’ last five matches: both have scored and conceded 1.00 goal per game during this period. Despite their weaker recent finishing, the projected total of 2.70 goals clearly supports Over 1.5 as the safest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Rhode Island victory at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 64% of their matches, compared with 55% for Louisville City. Rhode Island’s tendency toward cautious starts is further supported by their last five games: 80% of them were level at half-time, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored in the first half. After the break, the advantage should shift toward the hosts, who generate an average xG of 2.13, register 18.64 shots and 6 shots on target per match, while Louisville concede an average of 2.09 goals away from home and allow 1.54 xG. In addition, the visitors concede an average of 1.36 goals after half-time, whereas Rhode Island allow their opponents just 0.64 goals in this period, supporting a turnaround in a closely contested match in favour of the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rhode Island | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rhode Island · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rhode Island is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Rhode Island · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City
Rhode Island is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Rhode Island · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Rhode Island scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rhode Island
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rhode Island is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Rhode Island · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rhode Island - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rhode Island
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Rhode Island | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Rhode Island 2 - 1 - 3 Louisville City. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Rhode Island 1:1 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rhode Island and Louisville City?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rhode Island won 2, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Rhode Island score 1.71 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Rhode Island's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Rhode Island and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Rhode Island have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.