United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 01 September 2026

Rhode Island vs Louisville City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rhode Island play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Rhode Island: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rhode Island scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rhode Island 71%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Rhode Island 57%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.88. Rhode Island: 16.5 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.

Match halves

Rhode Island: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Rhode Island: 16-30 (7 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.35)
(3.40)
(2.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.71Goals scored / match1.63
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.29Goals conceded / match1.56
Rhode IslandLouisville City
48%Average possession53%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
6Shots on target / match5
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match16.5
Rhode IslandLouisville City
6Shots on target5
Rhode IslandLouisville City
10.4%Shot conversion9.8%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
48%Possession53%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.88xG for1.95
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.14xG against1.18
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Shooting quality

Rhode Island: AttackingLouisville City: Attacking
Rhode IslandLouisville City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Louisville City is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Rhode Island · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City

Rhode Island
LWDLW
Season result split
36% W29% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-5
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Louisville City
DWDWL
Season result split
44% W19% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rhode Island is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Rhode Island · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City

Rhode Island is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Rhode Island · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City

Rhode Island scoring profile: very strong

Rhode Island scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Louisville City scoring profile: very strong

Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).

24Goals scored (season)26
Rhode IslandLouisville City
18Goals conceded (season)25
Rhode IslandLouisville City
3Average goals in match3.19
Rhode IslandLouisville City
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Rhode IslandLouisville City

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal81%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
36%2 goals44%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
29%3 goals25%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
21%4 goals13%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal75%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
29%2 goals56%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
14%3 goals19%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
7%4 goals6%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time44%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
7%BTTS in both halves25%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
29%Scored in both halves31%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
60%BTTS - last 560%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rhode Island is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Rhode Island · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City

Rhode Island - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing
Louisville City - half-time state
6% leading69% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)0.88
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1Average goals (1st half)1.38
Rhode IslandLouisville City
64%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
50%No goal before half-time56%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1.56
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)1
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Rhode IslandLouisville City
2Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Rhode IslandLouisville City
36%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
36%No goal after half-time31%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Rhode Island - second-half results

29% W50% R21% P
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Louisville City - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding733%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rhode Island - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Louisville City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rhode Island
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
7
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
6
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.09
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rhode Island

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Rhode IslandLigaLouisville City
Average goals in match 3.002.79 3.19
Both teams scored 71%58% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%52% 50%
Clean sheets 21%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 64%67% 63%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Rhode Island 2 - 1 - 3 Louisville City. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Louisville City FC
4 : 2
Rhode Island FC
Rhode Island FC
0 : 1
Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC
2 : 1
Rhode Island FC
Louisville City
0 : 3
Rhode Island
Louisville City
2 : 5
Rhode Island
Rhode Island
0 : 0
Louisville City

FAQ

When do Rhode Island and Louisville City play?

Rhode Island face Louisville City on 5 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rhode Island and Louisville City?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rhode Island won 2, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Rhode Island score 1.71 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Rhode Island's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.

What form are Rhode Island and Louisville City in?

Over the last 5 games Rhode Island have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.