Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match statistics
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Richards Bay played Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Richards Bay Sports Stadium. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Richards Bay: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Mamelodi Sundowns: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Richards Bay scores 1.14 and concedes 2.43 goals per match. Mamelodi Sundowns scores 2.38 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Richards Bay 86%, Mamelodi Sundowns 63%. Over 2.5: Richards Bay 71%, Mamelodi Sundowns 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Mamelodi Sundowns has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.60. Richards Bay: 12.6 shots per match, Mamelodi Sundowns: 17.1.
Match halves
Richards Bay: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.63.
Goals by minute
Richards Bay: 76-90+ (3 goals). Mamelodi Sundowns: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
League leaders Mamelodi Sundowns remain unbeaten after 8 matches (6 wins and 2 draws), while 15th-placed Richards Bay have failed to win any of their 7 games. In the last 5 rounds, the visitors have earned 13 points and conceded 3 goals, while the hosts have collected just 2 points and shipped as many as 14 goals. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in chance quality: away from home, they average 1.82 xG and allow opponents 0.96 xG, compared with Richards Bay’s home figures of 1.73 and 1.62 xG, respectively. The hosts concede an average of 2.25 goals per home match and have lost 75% of those games; combined with Sundowns’ away scoring average of 1.75 goals, this significantly boosts the league leaders’ chances. A draw remains possible, as half of the visitors’ away matches have ended level, but the form and defensive record point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely, as both teams scored in 80% of Richards Bay’s last 5 matches and 60% of Mamelodi Sundowns’ last 5. The hosts conceded an average of 2.8 goals during this period, giving Mamelodi a strong basis for finding the net, especially with the visitors averaging 2.0 goals scored. Richards Bay also has a chance to score: it averaged 1.2 goals in its last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.61. However, caution is warranted: Mamelodi have conceded just 0.6 goals per match recently, while Richards Bay kept a clean sheet in 75% of its home matches. These signals temper the case for BTTS - Yes, but do not outweigh the scoring form of both attacks and the hosts’ recent defensive vulnerability.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Richards Bay averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.8, while Mamelodi Sundowns scored 2.0 goals and conceded just 0.6. The average xG over this period is 1.61 for the hosts and 1.89 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of around 3.1 goals in the match. Over 1.5 goals was recorded in 100% of both teams’ matches in the statistics provided, while at least three goals were scored in 80% and 60% of their respective last five matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick; higher lines are less certain, particularly as only 33% of matches across the league finish with at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Mamelodi Sundowns were level at the break in 3 of the 4 matches covered by the season statistics and in 3 of their last 5 fixtures. Richards Bay did lead at the break in 3 of those 4 matches and did not concede in the first half in any of them, so the X/2 pick is not without risk. However, the visitors’ form over their last 5 matches points in their favour: they won 4, while the hosts did not win any and conceded an average of 2.8 goals per match, compared with 0.6 for Sundowns. The second-half figures from these matches are particularly compelling: the visitors averaged 1.4 goals after the break, while Richards Bay conceded 2.0 and lost the second half in 4 of 5 matches. I therefore rate a competitive first half followed by a Sundowns win after the break more highly than the other scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Richards Bay | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Richards Bay · 2.6 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Richards Bay · 2.38 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns is 176% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.43 goals / match - Richards Bay · 0.88 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Richards Bay scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Richards Bay keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Richards Bay
Over / Under - Mamelodi Sundowns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Richards Bay · 2 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Richards Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Richards Bay | Liga | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.57 | 2.28 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 44% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Richards Bay 0 - 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Richards Bay 1:4 Mamelodi Sundowns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Richards Bay won 0, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Richards Bay score 1.14 goals per game on average and Mamelodi Sundowns 2.38. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Richards Bay's matches and 63% of Mamelodi Sundowns's.
What form are Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns in?
Over the last 5 games Richards Bay have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The statistical background for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.