Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Richmond Kickers play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 01:30. Venue: City Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Richmond Kickers: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Richmond Kickers scores 0.71 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Richmond Kickers 35%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Richmond Kickers 47%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Richmond Kickers: 10.1 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Richmond Kickers: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.29. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Richmond Kickers: 0-15 (3 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because Richmond generates more chances at home than Sarasota do away — on average 14 attempts and 4.8 on-target shots at home versus 10.14 attempts and 3.14 on-target for guests on the road. Defensively the hosts also look better on the season: Richmond concedes 1.2 goals per home match, while Sarasota concedes 2.29 goals away and scores only 0.71 goals per away match. Quality of chances analysis shows a home advantage: Richmond has 1.59 xG at home, Sarasota 1.24 xG away, suggesting the hosts create more high-value chances despite similar xG against (1.67 for Richmond vs 1.47 for Sarasota). Forms are mixed — Richmond have 0 points in their last 5 overall (5 defeats), but at home in their last 5 they are L-W-W-D-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Sarasota have scored 8 goals and won 3 of their last 5 (PPG 1.8). Considering the greater number of shots on target, higher xG for the hosts and Sarasota’s very poor away stats (14% away wins, 86% defeats and -11 goal difference), I assign Richmond a 60% chance to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Richmond Kickers | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarasota Paradise is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Richmond Kickers · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarasota Paradise is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Richmond Kickers · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Richmond Kickers · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Richmond Kickers scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Richmond Kickers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Richmond Kickers
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarasota Paradise is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Richmond Kickers · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Richmond Kickers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Richmond Kickers
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Richmond Kickers | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.59 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Richmond Kickers 0:0 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
Richmond Kickers score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Richmond Kickers's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Richmond Kickers have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.