Ried vs Rapid Wien: match statistics
Ried vs Rapid Wien: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ried played Rapid Wien in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Venue: josko ARENA. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ried: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rapid Wien: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ried scores 1.21 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Rapid Wien scores 1.13 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ried 52%, Rapid Wien 53%. Over 2.5: Ried 45%, Rapid Wien 38%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Ried has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.32. Ried: 11.9 shots per match, Rapid Wien: 11.6.
Match halves
Ried: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. Rapid Wien: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Ried: 76-90+ (11 goals). Rapid Wien: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win for Ried, based on their superior home metrics and better recent form. Ried averages 1.35 goals per home game with xG 1.46, while Rapid averages 1.06 goals away with xG 1.33; Ried’s conversion rate is 10% versus Rapid’s 9%. Ried concedes 1.12 goals per home match (xG against 1.21), whereas Rapid concedes 1.31 away (xG against 1.41), indicating defensive advantage for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Ried scored 4 goals, recorded 2 wins and averages 1.2 points per game, while Rapid scored only 2 goals, won 1 and averages 0.6 points while conceding 9 goals; this points to better form for Ried. Although Rapid have higher possession (55% vs 51%) and average 4 shots on target away (vs 3.82 for Ried), I assign a 55% probability to a Ried win, 25% to a draw and 20% to a Rapid win due to Ried’s xG advantage, home goal difference (+4) and a 53% home win rate.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators favor BTTS: Rapid has BTTS at 63% vs Ried 44%, while the league BTTS average is 55%, which supports a Goal/Goal scenario. xG analysis shows Ried generates 1.30 xG, Rapid 1.33 xG, with xG against 1.20 (Ried) and 1.41 (Rapid) — totaling about 2.63 xG, close to the league average 2.7, so chances from both sides are realistic. A strong counter signal comes from form: in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in only 20%, Ried scored 4 and conceded 5 (avg 0.8 and 1.0), while Rapid scored 2 and conceded 9 (avg 0.4 and 1.8), which reduces confidence that both will score. Additionally, Ried has 31% clean sheets vs Rapid 19%, and Rapid registers more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.19) but recently this hasn’t translated into goals. Therefore I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely but not overwhelming — pick: Yes 60% vs No 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ried scores an average of 1.19 goals at home, Rapid scores 1.06 away; the xG for both teams are 1.30 (Ried) and 1.33 (Rapid), while opponents' xG are 1.20 (Ried) and 1.41 (Rapid). Combining each team’s attack with the opponent’s defense yields expected goals of 1.36 for Ried and 1.26 for Rapid, a total of 2.62, which is close to the league average of 2.7 goals per match. With λ=2.62 the Poisson distribution gives probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈ 73.6%, Over 2.5 ≈ 48.6% and Over 3.5 ≈ 26.8%, therefore the 1.5 line is statistically the strongest (about 74% for Over). Seasonal rates confirm this signal: Over 1.5 occurred in 75% of Ried’s matches and 88% of Rapid’s, and Over 0.5 in 94% and 100%, further increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. On this basis I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the best and most justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: Ried were level at the break in 31% of their matches, Rapid in 44%, giving an approximate 40% chance of a draw after 45 minutes. After the break the home side have the edge – Ried average 0.75 goals scored after half-time versus 0.56 for Rapid, while Rapid concede an average of 0.81 goals after the break, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround by Ried. Ried earn an average of 1.44 points per home match, Rapid 1.31 on the road, and the home win percentage is 44% versus 31% for the away side; in the last five games Ried averaged 0.8 goals, Rapid 0.4, with Rapid conceding 1.8 goals across those five. xG shows similar attacking values (1.30 for Ried vs 1.33 for Rapid), but Rapid have a higher expected goals against (1.41 vs 1.20 for Ried), suggesting greater defensive vulnerability for Rapid. On this basis I select the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at half-time and home win by full-time (X/1) as the most probable and assign it a 22% probability; important alternatives are 1/1 (15%) and 2/2 (21%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ried | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ried is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ried · 0.6 pts / match - Rapid Wien
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ried is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Ried · 1.13 goals / match - Rapid Wien
Ried scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Rapid Wien keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Rapid Wien scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ried
Over / Under - Rapid Wien
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ried is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Ried · 1.13 pts / match - Rapid Wien
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rapid Wien - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ried
Rapid Wien
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Ried | Liga | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ried 1 - 0 - 1 Rapid Wien. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ried vs Rapid Wien?
The Bundesliga match finished Ried 2:1 Rapid Wien. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ried and Rapid Wien?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ried won 1, Rapid Wien won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ried vs Rapid Wien?
Ried score 1.21 goals per game on average and Rapid Wien 1.13. The Bundesliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ried's matches and 53% of Rapid Wien's.
What form are Ried and Rapid Wien in?
Over the last 5 games Ried have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rapid Wien 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ried vs Rapid Wien?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.