Ried vs Wattens: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Ried is displaying dreadful form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG), significantly weakening their position despite playing at home. Conversely, Wattens is in excellent shape with three wins in their last five outings and 2.0 PPG, giving them a psychological edge. However, Ried's home statistics are a key factor - a 36% home win rate and a positive expected goals ratio (1.45 vs 1.31 xG) demonstrate they can be dangerous at their own stadium. Given the high draw ratios of both teams (27% for Ried at home, 36% for Wattens on the road) and similar goal differences, I anticipate a tightly contested, even match ending in a share of the spoils.
Ried vs Wattens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ried played Wattens in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ried: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Wattens: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ried scores 1.18 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Wattens scores 1.41 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ried 50%, Wattens 64%. Over 2.5: Ried 45%, Wattens 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ried has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.33. Ried: 12.5 shots per match, Wattens: 12.4.
Match halves
Ried: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Wattens: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Ried: 31-45+ (8 goals). Wattens: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Ried is displaying dreadful form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG), significantly weakening their position despite playing at home. Conversely, Wattens is in excellent shape with three wins in their last five outings and 2.0 PPG, giving them a psychological edge. However, Ried's home statistics are a key factor - a 36% home win rate and a positive expected goals ratio (1.45 vs 1.31 xG) demonstrate they can be dangerous at their own stadium. Given the high draw ratios of both teams (27% for Ried at home, 36% for Wattens on the road) and similar goal differences, I anticipate a tightly contested, even match ending in a share of the spoils.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ried | Wattens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wattens is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ried · 2 pts / match - Wattens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wattens is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ried · 1.41 goals / match - Wattens
Ried scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Wattens keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Wattens scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ried
Over / Under - Wattens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wattens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ried
Wattens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Ried | Liga | Wattens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ried 1 - 1 - 0 Wattens. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ried vs Wattens?
The Bundesliga match finished Ried 2:1 Wattens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ried and Wattens?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ried won 1, Wattens won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ried vs Wattens?
Ried score 1.18 goals per game on average and Wattens 1.41. The Bundesliga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ried's matches and 64% of Wattens's.
What form are Ried and Wattens in?
Over the last 5 games Ried have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Wattens 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ried vs Wattens?
The statistical background for Ried vs Wattens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.