Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga FC II played JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Riga FC II: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. JFK Ventspils: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga FC II scores 1.25 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. JFK Ventspils scores 1.50 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga FC II 75%, JFK Ventspils 75%. Over 2.5: Riga FC II 75%, JFK Ventspils 75%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
JFK Ventspils has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. Riga FC II: 9.5 shots per match, JFK Ventspils: 6.0.
Match halves
Riga FC II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Riga FC II: 0-15 (2 goals). JFK Ventspils: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.61 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga FC II are favorites due to superior form — 2 wins in their last 5 matches and 1.4 points per game in that period, while JFK Ventspils have no wins in five and only 0.6 points per game. The home side score on average 1.5 goals at home with 8 shots on target and xG 1.78, whereas the visitors average 2.0 goals away with a higher conversion rate of 23% and xG 1.96, indicating greater efficiency on similar shot volume (13). Defensively both teams are prone to conceding — Riga concedes 2.0 goals per game at home, Ventspils as many as 3.0 away, both sides have 0% clean sheets, and the last 5 matches show 9 scored and 8 conceded (Riga) versus 7 and 9 (Ventspils). Considering 50% home wins for Riga versus 0% away wins for Ventspils, plus the form advantage and stronger home xG, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - Yes is strong: the away team has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% with 0% clean sheets, the league BTTS rate is 59%, and the home team has 50% BTTS. Both sides regularly concede — seasonally the home team concedes 1.5 goals, the away team 3.0, and in the last 5 matches respectively 1.6 and 1.8 goals per match. The away attack looks aggressive: away xG_for is 1.96 versus the home 1.21, average shots 13 versus 6 and shots on target 7 versus 3, which increases the likelihood that the home side will concede at least once. However, the hosts can score — in the last 5 matches they have 9 goals (1.8 per match) versus the away side's 7 (1.4) — so both teams have scoring potential. Considering 0% clean sheets for both teams and high average goals conceded, I assign 80% probability to Yes and 20% to No as the most justified forecast.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines team xG and opponent defense: expected goals are 1.49 for Riga FC II (calculated as (1.21 + 1.77)/2) and 1.64 for JFK Ventspils (calculated as (1.96 + 1.31)/2), total 3.13. JFK Ventspils averages 2.0 goals scored per match (xG 1.96) and concedes as many as 3.0, while Riga FC II scores 1.0 and concedes 1.5; additionally the visitors average 13 shots and 7 on target with a 23% conversion rate, which generates many scoring opportunities. League average goals per match is 3.48, and in the last 5 fixtures Riga registered 9 goals (1.8 per match) and conceded 8 (1.6), Ventspils had 7 goals (1.4) and conceded 9 (1.8); the hosts’ last 5 matches produced Over 2.5 in 80% of cases, the visitors in 60%. Season-long indicators confirm an offensive profile: visitors have 100% of matches with BTTS and 100% of matches Over 2.5 (season data), hosts have Over 2.5 in 50% of matches, which together increases the likelihood of more goals. Based on this I recommend the Over side on the 2.5 line as the strongest signal: I estimate Over 2.5 at 75% vs Under 25% (for reference Over 1.5 85%, Over 3.5 around 40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor the visitors: visitors’ xG is 1.96 versus 1.21 for the hosts, average shots 13.0 vs 6.0 and shots on target 7.0 vs 3.0, indicating a clear offensive advantage for JFK Ventspils. The visitors average 2.0 goals per match compared to 1.0 for Riga FC II and have a higher conversion rate (23% vs 17%), which increases the likelihood of a final win for the visitors. At half-time the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals (concededAVGHT_home 1.5) while the visitors concede 0.5 (concededAVGHT_away 0.5); seasonal data show the hosts were trailing at the break in 100.0% of cases (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 100.0), whereas the visitors led at half-time in 50.0% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_away 50.0). In the second half the visitors’ dominance is even more pronounced — AVG_2hg_away is 4.0 versus 0.5 for the hosts, and the visitors score an average of 1.5 goals after the break (scored_2hg_avg_away 1.5), which supports maintaining or extending the lead. Based on this, the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga FC II | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga FC II is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.5 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JFK Ventspils is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Riga FC II · 1.5 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Riga FC II is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Riga FC II · 2.25 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Riga FC II scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
JFK Ventspils scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga FC II
Over / Under - JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga FC II is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.75 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga FC II
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Riga FC II | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.25 | 3.61 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Riga FC IIGoalDeniss Nazarovs
- Riga FC IIGoalNazar Prudchenko
- JFK VentspilsGoalValters Liepājnieks
- JFK VentspilsGoalMārcis Kazainis
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Riga FC II 0 - 2 - 0 JFK Ventspils. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Riga FC II 4:2 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga FC II and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Riga FC II won 0, JFK Ventspils won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils?
Riga FC II score 1.25 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Riga FC II's matches and 75% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Riga FC II and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Riga FC II have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils?
The statistical background for Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.