Riga FC II vs Mārupe: match statistics
Riga FC II vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga FC II played Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Riga FC II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mārupe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga FC II scores 1.57 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Mārupe scores 2.00 and concedes 0.86. League average: 3.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga FC II 71%, Mārupe 43%. Over 2.5: Riga FC II 71%, Mārupe 71%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Mārupe has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.35. Riga FC II: 9.4 shots per match, Mārupe: 12.1.
Match halves
Riga FC II: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Mārupe: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
Riga FC II: 0-15 (3 goals). Mārupe: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.42 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga FC II has a clear offensive edge at home — scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match at their stadium, registering 12 shots with 8.33 on target and converting 19% of chances, while Mārupe scores just 1.0 goals away, averaging only 4.5 shots on target and 11% conversion. Defensively the hosts are vulnerable however — conceding 2.0 goals per home match with average xG against of 1.86, whereas the visitors concede only 0.75 goals on average away and record 50% clean sheets. The last five matches show similar points output (1.4 points per game each), but Riga have scored 10 goals in their last 5 compared to Mārupe’s 6, with the hosts also conceding 10 in those five. The xG differential also favors the hosts: 1.7 xG at home versus 1.34 xG for the visitors on the road, suggesting higher quality of created chances for Riga, although Mārupe compensates with solid defending. As a result I forecast a home win, but with clear risk posed by the visitors’ compact defence, so I assess probabilities at approximately 55% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 20% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches Riga FC II has BTTS at 80% and Mārupe 60%, with averages in those 5 games of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded for the home side and 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded for the away side, which strongly favors both teams to score. xG also supports BTTS: Riga II has xG 2.01, Mārupe has xG 1.34, with xG against of 0.94 (Riga) and 1.17 (Mārupe), meaning both teams generate over ~1.0 expected goals. The hosts average 15.67 shots and 6.0 on target with a conversion of 21%, while the visitors average 9.5 shots and 4.5 on target with a conversion of 11%, increasing the likelihood both teams will find the net. There are opposing season signals (seasonal clean sheet rate for hosts 67% and seasonal BTTS for hosts 33% versus 50% BTTS for visitors), but these are weakened by the last-5 form and xG profile. Considering the weight of the last 5 matches, xG>1 for both teams and the league BTTS rate of 56%, I assess BTTS at 68% (yes) vs 32% (no) and tip "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Riga FC II average 3.33 goals per match this season vs Mārupe 1.00; xG is 2.01 for the home side and 1.34 for the visitors, giving a total xG of 3.35 and a strong signal for Over. Home matches this season have 100% over 1.5 and 2.5 goals, while away matches have 50% over 2.5; the league averages 3.35 goals per game and 65% Over 2.5, so the high-scoring tendency is confirmed. Hosts register 15.67 shots per game with 6.0 on target and a 21% conversion, whereas Mārupe has 9.5 shots, 4.5 on target and an 11% conversion — indicating a clear offensive advantage for the home team. In the last 5 matches combined average goals are 3.2 (home 2.0 + away 1.2), and 80% of the home side’s last 5 matches were Over 2.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 2.5. Expected goals are ~2.01 for the hosts and 1.34 for the visitors, total 3.35, which supports an Over 2.5 bet edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga FC II has a clear attacking advantage: on average 3.33 goals scored per season versus Mārupe’s 1.00, xG 2.01 versus 1.34, and on average 15.67 shots per match versus 9.5 (6.0 vs 4.5 on target), which indicates more shooting opportunities. The home side leads at the break in 67% of their matches (2 of 3 in the seasonal data) and in the last 5 fixtures they average 1.4 first-half goals compared to the visitors’ 0.4, so the first half favors them. Riga FC II often increases their lead in the second half: 3 goals between 61–75 minutes and 4 goals between 76–90 minutes this season, while the visitors have a lower shooting conversion of 11% and xG 1.34, reducing their chances of a turnaround. Considering the 67% rate of leads at the break and the fact that the hosts convert leads into wins (home win percentage 67%), the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 with an estimated probability of around 50%. Smaller but possible alternatives are a draw at half-time with a home win or a full-time equalizer by the visitors, so the remainder of the distribution is allocated as 1/X 8%, X/1 12%, 1/2 5%, X/X 8%, X/2 5%, and low chances of a visitor turnaround: 2/1 2%, 2/X 3%, 2/2 7%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga FC II | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 59% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Riga FC II · 2 goals / match - Mārupe
Mārupe is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Riga FC II · 0.86 goals / match - Mārupe
Riga FC II scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Mārupe scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga FC II
Over / Under - Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mārupe is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Riga FC II · 1.71 pts / match - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga FC II
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Riga FC II | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.71 | 3.42 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MārupeGoalKristaps Jansons
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Riga FC II 1 - 0 - 1 Mārupe. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga FC II vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished Riga FC II 0:4 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga FC II and Mārupe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Riga FC II won 1, Mārupe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga FC II vs Mārupe?
Riga FC II score 1.57 goals per game on average and Mārupe 2.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Riga FC II's matches and 43% of Mārupe's.
What form are Riga FC II and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games Riga FC II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mārupe 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga FC II vs Mārupe?
The statistical background for Riga FC II vs Mārupe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.