Riga FC II vs Smiltene: match statistics
Riga FC II vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga FC II played Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Riga FC II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Smiltene: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga FC II scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.00 and concedes 2.78. League average: 3.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga FC II 67%, Smiltene 44%. Over 2.5: Riga FC II 78%, Smiltene 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Riga FC II has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.07. Riga FC II: 7.7 shots per match, Smiltene: 8.1.
Match halves
Riga FC II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. Smiltene: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Riga FC II: 0-15 (3 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.51 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Riga FC II averages 1.75 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.41 and a shot conversion rate of 18%, while Smiltene scores 0.8 goals away with xG 1.06 and a 10% conversion, giving the hosts a clear offensive edge. The hosts register 6.25 shots on target and 10 attempts per home game versus Smiltene’s 3.6 on target and 8.4 attempts, and they find the net in 75% of home matches while the visitors fail to score in 60% of away fixtures. Defensively Smiltene concedes 3.4 goals away and Riga concedes 2.5 at home, suggesting more scoring opportunities for the hosts and an open, goal-prone match. Over the last 5 games Riga scored 9 goals and averages 1.2 points per game versus Smiltene’s 8 goals and 0.8 points per game; therefore I assign 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'BTTS - Yes' because the league features 63% BTTS matches and an average of 3.45 goals per game, which favors both teams scoring. Riga FC II averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 2.0, while Smiltene scores 0.8 and concedes 3.4 on the season, indicating weak defenses on both sides. In the last 5 matches both teams registered BTTS in 60%; the home side in the last 5 scored 1.8 and conceded 2.4, and the visitors scored 1.6 and conceded 1.6, so recent form increases the likelihood of mutual goals. xG confirms balanced attacking potential at 1.08 versus 1.06 and high defensive exposure at 2.04 versus 2.43, therefore I rate BTTS at 70% versus 30% for 'No Goal'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate Riga FC II will score about 1.76 goals and Smiltene about 1.55, totaling ~3.31 goals. These values result from averaging attacking xG (Riga 1.08 vs Smiltene 1.06) and opponent defensive xG allowed (Smiltene concedes 2.43, Riga 2.04), which translates into expected 1.76 and 1.55. Season statistics confirm a tendency for goals: Over 1.5 occurred in 75% of Riga’s matches and 80% of Smiltene’s matches, the league averages 3.45 goals per game, and seasonOver0.5 is 75%/100%. Using a Poisson model with a mean of 3.31, the probability of Over 1.5 is about 84%, Over 2.5 about 64%, and Over 3.5 about 42%, so the strongest signal is an Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Neither team has a win this season (0% wins for the home side and 0% for the visitors), while draws occur frequently: the home team draws in 50% of matches and the visitors in 40%, which strongly favors a full-time draw. Half-time draws are also common (draw at the break: 50% for the home side and 40% for the visitors), and xG of 1.08 (Riga II) versus 1.06 (Smiltene) together with a similar number of on-target shots (3.0 vs 3.6) indicate an evenly matched first half. Although in the last five matches the home side averaged 1.0 goals by half-time compared to 0.2 for the visitors, the visitors’ lower finishing efficiency (10% conversion versus 16% for the home side) and the high share of seasonal draws tilt the scenario toward draw/draw (X/X). Additionally, the second half is goal-active (over 0.5 in the second half: 75% for the home side and 100% for the visitors) and defenses are weak (home concede 2.0 goals on average, visitors 3.4), which increases the likelihood of a points split.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga FC II | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga FC II is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.2 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga FC II is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Riga FC II · 1 goals / match - Smiltene
Riga FC II is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Riga FC II · 2.78 goals / match - Smiltene
Riga FC II scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Smiltene scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga FC II
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga FC II is 202% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.44 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Smiltene - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga FC II
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Riga FC II | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.51 | ▲ 3.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Riga FC IIGoalNazar Prudchenko
- Riga FC IIGoalMarkuss Eduards Blaubergs
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Riga FC II 0 - 0 - 2 Smiltene. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga FC II vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Riga FC II 2:0 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga FC II and Smiltene?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Riga FC II won 0, Smiltene won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga FC II vs Smiltene?
Riga FC II score 1.33 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Riga FC II's matches and 44% of Smiltene's.
What form are Riga FC II and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Riga FC II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Smiltene 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga FC II vs Smiltene?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.