Riga FC II vs Tukums II: match statistics
Riga FC II vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga FC II played Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Riga FC II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tukums II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga FC II scores 1.55 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.45 and concedes 2.64. League average: 3.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga FC II 64%, Tukums II 91%. Over 2.5: Riga FC II 73%, Tukums II 82%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums II has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.35. Riga FC II: 7.5 shots per match, Tukums II: 10.2.
Match halves
Riga FC II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Tukums II: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Riga FC II: 0-15 (4 goals). Tukums II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.51 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga FC II are the favorites for this match: at home they win 60% of games, score on average 1.8 goals and concede 2.0 goals per match with average xG 1.55 for themselves and 1.8 for opponents. Tukums II on the road also average 1.8 goals scored, but concede as many as 3.2 goals away and have no clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 15 goals (3.0 per match) versus the hosts’ 10 conceded (2.0 per match). The hosts register an average of 6.6 shots on target at home and convert 17% of their chances, while the visitors average 5.0 shots on target and 11% conversion, indicating higher finishing quality for Riga. Additionally, Riga controls the ball on average 56% of the time versus Tukums’ 48% and have a better points return over the last five matches (1.2 points vs 0.8), so they hold advantages in control and form. On this basis I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a high probability of both teams scoring: season BTTS rate is 83% for Riga FC II and 100% for Tukums II, while the league share of matches with both teams scoring is 62%. In the last 5 games the home side has BTTS 60% (scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 on average), whereas the visitors have BTTS 100% (scoring 1.6 and conceding 3.0 on average), demonstrating consistency in both scoring and conceding. xG figures are similar: Riga FC II has xG 1.53 versus Tukums II conceding 2.02 xG per match, and Tukums II has xG 1.50 while the hosts allow 1.76 xG, which together implies plenty of chances from both sides. Additionally, shots on target (5.17 vs 5.0) and total shots (11.17 vs 11.5) and low clean sheet rates (17% and 0%) confirm that both teams have a realistic chance to score and are also vulnerable to conceding. Given these facts (seasonal BTTS 83%/100%, last 5 matches 60%/100%, league average goals 3.51), the strongest signal is the 'BTTS - Yes' pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of their matches this season with over 1.5 goals (Riga FC II 100%, Tukums II 100%), while the league average is 3.51 goals per match, which strongly favors the over. xG analysis: home xG 1.53 vs xG against Tukums II 2.02 yields an estimated ~1.78 goals for the home side; away xG 1.50 vs xG against Riga 1.76 yields ~1.63 for the visitors, totaling ~3.41 goals. Over 2.5 also looks strong: seasonal rates of 67% for the home team and 100% for the visitors (approximately 84% on average), and in the last 5 matches both teams produced over 2.5 in 80% of cases. Additionally, BTTS occurs frequently (Riga 83%, Tukums 100%) and both sides take a similar number of shots (11.17 vs 11.5) and shots on target (5.17 vs 5.0), which confirms exchanges of chances and goals from both sides. Based on this, the best and strongest signal is Over 1.5 (both teams 100% seasonally) with projected ~1.78 and ~1.63 goals for home and away respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics indicate an advantage for the visitors: Tukums II scored 12 goals by the break versus 8 for Riga FC II, and the average first-half goals are 0.8 for the visitors versus 0.33 for the hosts, which favors the visitors leading at the break. The second half is very high-scoring – second-half averages are 2.0 for the hosts and 2.6 for the visitors, and both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal after the break (over05_2hg_percentage 100%), so there is a high chance of a turnaround. Riga FC II often scores late (3 goals in 76–90 min), while Tukums II concedes 4 goals in that interval; hosts also collect more points after the break (ppg_2hg_home 1.17 vs ppg_2hg_away 0.8), which increases the probability of leveling the score. Considering both teams’ frequency of both teams to score (seasonBTTSPercentage_home 83% and away 100%), the strongest and most justified scenario is visitors leading at half-time and a draw at full-time (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga FC II | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga FC II is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.8 pts / match - Tukums II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga FC II is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Riga FC II · 1.45 goals / match - Tukums II
Riga FC II is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Riga FC II · 2.64 goals / match - Tukums II
Riga FC II scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Tukums II scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga FC II
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga FC II is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Riga FC II · 0.73 pts / match - Tukums II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga FC II
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Riga FC II | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.55 | 3.51 | ▲ 4.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 91% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Riga FC II 1 - 0 - 1 Tukums II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga FC II vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished Riga FC II 2:0 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga FC II and Tukums II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Riga FC II won 1, Tukums II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga FC II vs Tukums II?
Riga FC II score 1.55 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.45. The 1. Liga average is 3.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Riga FC II's matches and 91% of Tukums II's.
What form are Riga FC II and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games Riga FC II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tukums II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga FC II vs Tukums II?
The statistical background for Riga FC II vs Tukums II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.