Riga vs Auda: match statistics
Riga vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Auda: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 3.27 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Auda scores 2.27 and concedes 1.09. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 64%, Auda 73%. Over 2.5: Riga 91%, Auda 73%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.70. Riga: 16.6 shots per match, Auda: 13.9.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.73. Auda: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Riga: 76-90+ (9 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga has a clear advantage in chance creation — at home they average 19.5 shots, 6.25 on target, scoring 3.0 goals per match with xG 2.27, while Auda away posts 13.83 shots, 4.83 on target, 1.83 goals and xG 1.63. Auda’s defense looks solid with only 0.83 goals conceded away versus Riga’s 1.25 conceded at home, but xG against comparison shows Riga allows 0.79 xG (Auda 0.94), meaning Riga concedes 0.46 more goals than xG suggests, while Auda defends 0.11 better than xG indicates. Both teams are in excellent form (Riga 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5, Auda 4 wins and 1 draw; both averaging 2.6 points per game) and scored 14 and 15 goals respectively in their last 5 matches. With superior possession (66% vs 58%), higher shot conversion (15% vs 13%) and greater xG (2.27 vs 1.63), the home side appear to have a marginal edge, so I forecast a Riga victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS comes from seasonal indicators: Riga has BTTS at 80%, Auda 67%, both above the league average of 57%. In the last 5 matches Auda shows BTTS 80% versus 40% for Riga, but both teams have been scoring heavily recently — Riga scored 14 goals in 5 matches (avg 2.8), Auda 15 goals (avg 3.0) — and conceded 4 and 5 goals respectively. xG and shot metrics confirm goal potential: Riga generates 1.79 xG with xG against 1.23, Auda 1.63 xG with xG against 0.94; Riga averages 5.6 shots on target with a 20% conversion, Auda 4.83 with a 13% conversion. Seasonal clean sheet rates are low: 20% for Riga and 33% for Auda, while season tallies are 36 scored/13 conceded for Riga and 25/12 for Auda, further increasing the likelihood of goal exchange; therefore I recommend BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 78% versus 22% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Riga has a very offensive profile: they score an average of 2.8 goals per match and this season 100% of their games have gone Over 2.5, while Auda averages 3.0 goals in their last 5 matches and 50% of their season matches are over 2.5. Based on xG, Riga have xG 1.79 versus xG conceded by Auda 0.94, giving an expected 1.37 goals for the home side; Auda have xG 1.63 versus xG conceded by Riga 1.23, giving 1.43 for the visitors. The expected total is 2.80 goals, and the league average is 3.04 goals per match, which further supports Over markets; in the last 5 matches of both teams Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of cases. Riga average 5.6 shots on target with 20% conversion, Auda 4.83 shots on target with 13% conversion, and BTTS occurs in 80% of Riga’s season matches and 67% of Auda’s, increasing the likelihood of goal exchange. Therefore the best pick is Over 2.5 (back Over) — roughly 78% probability — because the expected total of 2.80 and Riga’s historical 100% of matches over 2.5 provide the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 1/2: Riga leads at the break, Auda wins after full-time. Riga leads at half-time in 60% of matches and scores an average of 1.4 goals in the first half. Riga also has higher average xG (1.79 vs 1.63 for Auda) and a seasonal goals-per-game average of 2.8 versus 1.83 for the visitors, which increases the hosts’ chance to take a lead before the break. However, Auda has an 83% win rate this season, averages 2.0 points in second halves and wins 50% of second halves, while Riga averages only 1.2 points and wins just 20% of second halves, suggesting a possible turnaround after the break. Additionally, Auda defends solidly (concedes 0.83 goals per game on average with 0.94 xG against), whereas Riga is more efficient with shots (conversion rate 20% vs 13%), which together indicate an early lead for the hosts and a greater probability that the visitors will take control by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
3.27 goals / match - Riga · 2.27 goals / match - Auda
Auda is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Riga · 1.09 goals / match - Auda
Riga scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Auda scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.09 pts / match - Riga · 1.91 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.45 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 52% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Riga 4 - 1 - 0 Auda. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 4:1 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Auda?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Riga won 4, Auda won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Auda?
Riga score 3.27 goals per game on average and Auda 2.27. The Virsliga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Riga's matches and 73% of Auda's.
What form are Riga and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Auda 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Auda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.