Riga vs Liepāja: match statistics
Riga vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga played Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Riga: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Liepāja: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 3.56 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Liepāja scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 67%, Liepāja 67%. Over 2.5: Riga 100%, Liepāja 44%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.37. Riga: 16.9 shots per match, Liepāja: 11.4.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.78. Liepāja: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Riga: 31-45+ (8 goals). Liepāja: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the clear favorite for this fixture — at home they average 3.67 goals per game, register 20.33 shots with 6 on target and 18% conversion, with a 67% win rate and 0% defeats at home. Liepāja away average only 1.25 goals, produce 15 shots (4 on target) with 8% conversion and have scored 10 goals this season versus Riga’s 32. Riga generates higher xG (2.21 at home vs 1.71 xG for Liepāja away) and creates more chances (20.33 vs 15), while Liepāja’s opponents record a higher xG against them (1.17 vs 0.69 for Riga), indicating the hosts’ superiority in quality and frequency of opportunities. Form corroborates the home advantage: Riga have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per game in that period, whereas Liepāja have only 1 win and 1.2 points per game. Considering the advantage in shot volume, conversion rate (18% vs 8%), higher xG and superior goals tally (32 vs 10), I predict a Riga victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics strongly favor a Both Teams To Score scenario: Riga has a season BTTS rate of 80% versus Liepāja's 50% and a league average of 60%. In the last 5 matches Liepāja shows BTTS in 100% of games and Riga in 60%, reinforcing the Goal/Goal signal. Riga have scored 32 and conceded 12 this season, while Liepāja have scored 10 and conceded 11; additionally Riga have no clean sheets at home (0%), whereas the visitors have 25% clean sheets. xG and shot data confirm the visitors' offensive pressure and the hosts' open play: Liepāja has xG 1.71 and 15 shots per game on average versus Riga xG 1.10 and 8.6 shots, and in the last 5 matches Riga average 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Liepāja average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Based on this I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% and BTTS - No 20%, because the dominant signals (Riga's 80% season BTTS, visitors' 100% BTTS in last 5 and Riga's 0% clean sheets) point to a high likelihood of both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project expected goals: Riga 1.63 xG and Liepāja 1.08 xG, total 2.71 xG, which is close to the league average of 2.83. Seasonal indicators confirm high scoring potential: Riga have 80% of matches over 1.5 goals, Liepāja 75%, and both teams have 100% of matches with over 0.5 goals this season. Riga have scored on average 3.4 goals in their last 5 matches (17 goals in 5) and have a last5 xG of 2.07, while Liepāja have a last5 xG of 1.39 and average 15 shots per match with an 8% conversion rate, increasing the number of quality chances. Based on combined xG = 2.71 I estimate probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈75%, Over 2.5 ≈51% and Over 3.5 ≈29%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to the high seasonal frequency of over1.5 (80%/75%) and Riga’s form (3.4 goals per match, last5 xG 2.07), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga starts strongly: in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%) and averaged 2.2 goals by half-time (15 goals total), while Liepāja led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) and averaged 0.6 goals by half-time. Seasonally Liepāja has a higher xG (1.71 versus 1.10 for Riga) and a higher points-per-game average (1.75 vs 1.00), indicating superior attacking quality over the long term. Nonetheless, in the short run Riga averaged 3.4 goals per match in the last 5 (vs 1.4 for the visitors) and won 3 of 5 matches (60%), increasing the likelihood of retaining a lead. Additionally, the seasonal percentage of matches in which both teams score is 80% for Riga versus 50% for Liepāja, which favors goals already before the break. On this basis, the strongest and most consistent signal is HT/FT 1/1 (Riga leads at the break and wins), which I regard as the best pick to play.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Riga · 1.2 pts / match - Liepāja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 221% better for: goals scored per match.
3.56 goals / match - Riga · 1.11 goals / match - Liepāja
Liepāja is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Riga · 1.22 goals / match - Liepāja
Riga scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Liepāja scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Riga · 1.11 pts / match - Liepāja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.89 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 19% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Riga 4 - 0 - 1 Liepāja. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 1:0 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Liepāja?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Riga won 4, Liepāja won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Liepāja?
Riga score 3.56 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.11. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Riga's matches and 67% of Liepāja's.
What form are Riga and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Liepāja 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for Riga vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.