Riga vs Ogre United: match statistics
Riga vs Ogre United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga play Ogre United in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 2.96 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 57%, Ogre United 61%. Over 2.5: Riga 83%, Ogre United 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.13. Riga: 17.3 shots per match, Ogre United: 10.0.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.43. Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Riga: 31-45+ (16 goals). Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (Riga) because they average 3.5 goals per home match with xG 2.36, while Ogre United averages 0.5 goals away with xG 0.91. Riga have scored 20 goals in their last 5 matches and won 4 of 5, whereas Ogre have 4 goals in those five and have not won any (0-2-3), translating to PPG 2.6 for Riga vs 0.4 for Ogre. Home metrics for the hosts are 20.5 shots and 6.5 on target with 69% possession, versus the visitors’ 7.5 shots and 2 on target and 39% possession, and shot conversion of 17% vs 7%, indicating substantially better chance quality. The visitors have 50% of away matches without a goal and concede 2.0 goals on average away, with average xG against 2.53 suggesting they will be exposed to more dangerous chances; the hosts meanwhile allow only 0.86 xG per home match. Considering these specific figures and the fact that the visitors have 0% away wins (loss% 100%), I estimate the probabilities as: home win ~80%, draw 12%, away win 8%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Riga · 1.2 pts / match - Ogre United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 225% better for: goals scored per match.
2.96 goals / match - Riga · 0.91 goals / match - Ogre United
Riga is 195% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Riga · 2.57 goals / match - Ogre United
Riga scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Riga
Over / Under — Ogre United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 327% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.22 pts / match - Riga · 0.52 pts / match - Ogre United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Ogre United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 24% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Riga 1 - 0 - 0 Ogre United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Ogre United?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 4:0 Ogre United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Ogre United?
Riga score 2.96 goals per game on average and Ogre United 0.91. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Riga's matches and 61% of Ogre United's.
What form are Riga and Ogre United in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Ogre United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Ogre United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.