Riga vs Tukums: match statistics
Riga vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga played Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Riga: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Tukums: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 3.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 75%, Tukums 100%. Over 2.5: Riga 100%, Tukums 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.43. Riga: 15.5 shots per match, Tukums: 12.0.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.50. Tukums: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Riga: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tukums: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga enters the match as the clear favourite: they have 100% home wins and a season record of 3-0-1. At home they average 4.0 goals per game from 15 shots and 7 on target (conversion rate 27%) with an average xG of 1.95, while Tukums away averages only 1.0 goals per game, 2.5 shots on target and a 7% conversion (xG 1.49). In the last 5 matches Riga scored 18 goals (3.6 per game) and average 1.8 points per game, whereas Tukums scored 5 goals in their last 5 and average 0.6 PPG, which indicates a clear form advantage for the hosts. Defensively Tukums concede 1.5 goals away on average and Riga 2.0 at home, but Riga’s higher offensive xG (1.95 vs 1.49) and significantly more shots on target (7 vs 2.5) give them superior quality of chances. Considering shot dominance, conversion and a 18:5 goals disparity over the last 5 fixtures and PPG 1.8 vs 0.6, I tip a Riga win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS at 100% (Riga 100%, Tukums 100%), and in the last 5 matches the BTTS rate is 80% for Riga and 100% for Tukums. Seasonal clean sheet percentages are 0% for both sides, and average goals conceded this season are 1.5 each (Riga 1.5, Tukums 1.5), which reduces the likelihood of a goalless match. In the last 5 matches Riga concedes 1.8 goals on average and has an attacking xG of 1.83 with opponents' xG 1.31, while Tukums concedes 1.4 with attacking xG 1.33 and opponents' xG 1.45, indicating both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. Additionally, Riga averages 5.0 shots on target vs 2.5 for Tukums and has scored 18 goals in the last 5 matches (3.6 avg), while Tukums has 5 goals (1.0 avg); so despite the difference in offensive potency, both sides can find the net. Given these figures and the league-level BTTS of 56%, I rate BTTS - Yes 88% and No 12%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 as the primary option: both teams have a seasonal Over1.5 rate of 100%, meaning in 100% of matches at least 2 goals were scored. Total xG is approximately 2.90: xG Riga 1.39 and xG Tukums 1.49, which averages to about 1.43 expected goals for the home side and 1.47 for the away side. Riga scored an average of 3.6 goals and conceded 1.8 in their last 5 matches (total 5.4 goals per match), while Tukums averaged 2.4 goals per match over their last 5; such goal distributions increase the probability of at least two goals. Additionally, Riga records on average 10 shots per match with a 10% conversion rate (translating to ~1.0 goal), and Tukums has 14 shots with a 7% conversion (~0.98 goal) — this corroborates the consistency between xG and actual scoring capability. I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (≈66%) given seasonal Over2.5 at 50% for both teams and a league average of 2.71, while Over 3.5 is unlikely (≈28%) since season Over3.5 is 0% for both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time, seasonal data show an advantage for the away side: hosts led at the break in 0.0% of matches, away teams led in 50.0%, and half-time draws occurred in 50.0% of games, favoring HT = draw or HT = 2. However, in second halves over the last 5 matches hosts averaged 2.6 goals (last5_scored_2hg_avg_overall_home 2.6) and won 60.0% of second halves, while away teams averaged 0.4 goals and only 20.0% second-half wins, signaling a potential turnaround after the break. Hosts also have better on-target accuracy (5.0 shots on target vs 2.5) and a higher conversion rate (10.0% vs 7.0%), and despite similar xG (1.39 vs 1.49) their form over the last 5 matches is stronger (60.0% wins vs 0.0% for the away team). Considering the high proportion of half-time draws and the hosts’ strong second halves, the most likely HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time and a home victory after full-time (X/1), with a meaningful probability of a host comeback from an away lead (2/1) and maintaining the draw as an alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 350% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - Riga · 0.5 pts / match - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 275% better for: goals scored per match.
3.75 goals / match - Riga · 1 goals / match - Tukums
Riga is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Riga · 1.5 goals / match - Tukums
Riga scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Tukums scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Riga · 1.25 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.00 | 2.58 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 54% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Riga 3 - 1 - 0 Tukums. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 3:3 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Tukums?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Riga won 3, Tukums won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Tukums?
Riga score 3.75 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.00. The Virsliga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Riga's matches and 100% of Tukums's.
What form are Riga and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Tukums 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Tukums?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Riga vs Tukums: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.