Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe: match statistics
Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS II played Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Rīgas FS II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mārupe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS II scores 1.67 and concedes 2.90 goals per match. Mārupe scores 1.62 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS II 71%, Mārupe 48%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS II 81%, Mārupe 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS II has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.44. Rīgas FS II: 10.0 shots per match, Mārupe: 8.8.
Match halves
Rīgas FS II: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90. Mārupe: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS II: 61-75 (10 goals). Mārupe: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.71 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mārupe sit 6th and Rīgas FS II 10th, but the most significant difference is defensive: the hosts have conceded 61 goals this season compared with 32 for the visitors. In their last five matches, Rīgas FS II have lost four times and conceded 17 goals, while Mārupe have recorded two wins and a draw, conceding just 7 goals. The hosts’ strength is their scoring record at home, where they average 1.82 goals per match, but they also concede as many as 2.36, giving the visitors a chance to exploit their defensive weaknesses. Both teams average 1.59 xG in their respective match conditions, but Mārupe allow opponents chances worth 1.42 xG away from home, while Rīgas FS II allow 1.76 at home. The stronger defence and more favourable recent form point to a Mārupe win, although the hosts’ scoring record means this is not a confident pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in all of Rīgas FS II’s last 5 matches, with the team scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 3.4 over that spell—strongly pointing to goals at both ends. Mārupe have recently averaged 1.6 goals, giving them a good chance to exploit the hosts’ defensive problems. Rīgas FS II should also create opportunities: their average xG across the last 5 matches is 1.73, while Mārupe have allowed opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.63. Caution is warranted, however: over the season, BTTS has landed in 42% of the hosts’ matches and 56% of the visitors’ matches, while Mārupe have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games. Even so, the hosts’ current scoring form and the number of goals they are conceding support the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 83% of Rīgas FS II matches and 78% of Mārupe matches. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored, while the visitors average 1.44; both teams also concede around 1.5 goals per match, which points to a game with at least two goals. In their last five matches, Rīgas FS II averaged 2.4 goals scored and 3.4 conceded, with all five finishing Over 2.5 goals. The 2.5 line also has a solid case—75% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ matches went Over—but the 1.5 line offers a clearer signal and a greater margin of safety.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely, as Mārupe were level at the break in 56% of their away matches and failed to score in the first half in 78% of them. After the break, however, the visitors average 1.11 goals, giving them a chance to decide the match in the second half. Mārupe’s recent form also supports an away win: Rīgas FS II lost 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 3.4 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.4. Mārupe also create more chances over the season, with an average xG of 1.59 compared with the hosts’ 1.32, making a half-time draw followed by an away win at full-time the strongest single HT/FT scenario. This is not a confident pick, though, as the hosts averaged 1.8 goals after the break across their last five matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS II | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mārupe is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Rīgas FS II · 1.4 pts / match - Mārupe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.9 goals / match - Rīgas FS II · 1.52 goals / match - Mārupe
Rīgas FS II scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Mārupe scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Rīgas FS II keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS II
Over / Under - Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS II is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Rīgas FS II · 0.95 pts / match - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS II
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS II | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.57 | 3.71 | ▼ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 81% | 70% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 20% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Rīgas FS IIGoalVictor Uchechukwu Osuagwu
- MārupeGoalRoberts Čevers
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rīgas FS II 3 - 0 - 0 Mārupe. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished Rīgas FS II 2:3 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS II and Mārupe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS II won 3, Mārupe won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe?
Rīgas FS II score 1.67 goals per game on average and Mārupe 1.62. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Rīgas FS II's matches and 48% of Mārupe's.
What form are Rīgas FS II and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mārupe 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


