Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Rīgas FS is in exceptional form, winning all five recent matches and maintaining a perfect home record, having not conceded a goal at home this season. The hosts dominate in terms of ball possession (70% on average), register significantly more shots (19 per game), and have a twice-higher expected goals rate (xG 2.48 vs 0.33). BFC Daugavpils is at the bottom of the table, losing all away matches, conceding an average of four goals per game, and displaying dramatically poor form (zero points in the last five matches). The class difference between the two teams is huge, as confirmed by all key statistics – from goal difference, through xG metrics, to defensive efficiency. Given such a decisive advantage for the hosts in all aspects of the game, their victory is almost certain.
Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Rīgas FS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS scores 2.39 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS 43%, BFC Daugavpils 57%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS 57%, BFC Daugavpils 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.54. Rīgas FS: 16.0 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.7.
Match halves
Rīgas FS: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.30. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS: 76-90+ (12 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 6-0-0. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 83%.
Match description
Rīgas FS is in exceptional form, winning all five recent matches and maintaining a perfect home record, having not conceded a goal at home this season. The hosts dominate in terms of ball possession (70% on average), register significantly more shots (19 per game), and have a twice-higher expected goals rate (xG 2.48 vs 0.33). BFC Daugavpils is at the bottom of the table, losing all away matches, conceding an average of four goals per game, and displaying dramatically poor form (zero points in the last five matches). The class difference between the two teams is huge, as confirmed by all key statistics – from goal difference, through xG metrics, to defensive efficiency. Given such a decisive advantage for the hosts in all aspects of the game, their victory is almost certain.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 2 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
2.39 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 52% (12 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rīgas FS
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.3 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Rīgas FS 6 - 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 4:1 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 6, BFC Daugavpils won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Rīgas FS score 2.39 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.26. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rīgas FS's matches and 57% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Rīgas FS and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.