Rijeka vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rijeka played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Rijeka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gorica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rijeka scores 1.63 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.24 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rijeka 63%, Gorica 71%. Over 2.5: Rijeka 50%, Gorica 53%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Rijeka has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.42. Rijeka: 15.8 shots per match, Gorica: 11.7.

Match halves

Rijeka: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.69. Gorica: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Rijeka: 0-15 (5 goals). Gorica: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
RijekaGorica
15Shots7
RijekaGorica
4Shots on target2
RijekaGorica
1.96xG0.89
RijekaGorica
10Corners4
RijekaGorica
101Dangerous attacks42
RijekaGorica
12Fouls8
RijekaGorica
2Cards2
RijekaGorica

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.63Goals scored / match1.24
RijekaGorica
1.19Goals conceded / match1.53
RijekaGorica
51%Average possession48%
RijekaGorica
4.25Shots on target / match4.06
RijekaGorica

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.75Shots per match11.71
RijekaGorica
4.25Shots on target4.06
RijekaGorica
10.3%Shot conversion10.6%
RijekaGorica
51%Possession48%
RijekaGorica
1.75xG for1.42
RijekaGorica
1.32xG against1.57
RijekaGorica

Shooting quality

Rijeka: AttackingGorica: Balanced
RijekaGorica
Accuracy (shots on target)27%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rijeka is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Rijeka · 1 pts / match - Gorica

Rijeka
LLWDW
Season result split
31% W38% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-5
1.31 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Gorica
DWLLD
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-8
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rijeka is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Rijeka · 1.24 goals / match - Gorica

Rijeka is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Rijeka · 1.53 goals / match - Gorica

Rijeka scoring profile: very strong

Rijeka scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

Gorica scoring profile: very strong

Gorica scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

26Goals scored (season)21
RijekaGorica
19Goals conceded (season)26
RijekaGorica
2.81Average goals in match2.76
RijekaGorica
10Goals scored (last 5)4
RijekaGorica
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
RijekaGorica

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal76%
RijekaGorica
44%2 goals29%
RijekaGorica
25%3 goals12%
RijekaGorica
13%4 goals6%
RijekaGorica

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal94%
RijekaGorica
38%2 goals41%
RijekaGorica
6%3 goals18%
RijekaGorica
0%4 goals0%
RijekaGorica

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time18%
RijekaGorica
13%BTTS in both halves0%
RijekaGorica
31%Scored in both halves12%
RijekaGorica

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
RijekaGorica
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RijekaGorica
60%BTTS - last 560%
RijekaGorica

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
RijekaGorica
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
RijekaGorica
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
RijekaGorica

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
RijekaGorica
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
RijekaGorica
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
RijekaGorica

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rijeka is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / match - Rijeka · 1.47 pts / match - Gorica

Rijeka - half-time state
50% leading31% draw19% trailing
Gorica - half-time state
41% leading24% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)1.47
RijekaGorica
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.71
RijekaGorica
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
RijekaGorica
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.29
RijekaGorica
56%Clean sheet before half-time47%
RijekaGorica
38%No goal before half-time53%
RijekaGorica

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)0.65
RijekaGorica
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
RijekaGorica
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
RijekaGorica
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.47
RijekaGorica
38%Clean sheet after half-time24%
RijekaGorica
56%No goal after half-time59%
RijekaGorica

Rijeka - second-half results

25% W44% R31% P
29
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding62%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gorica - second-half results

12% W29% R59% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding71%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rijeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rijeka
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
7
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
7
46-60
0
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rijeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

RijekaLigaGorica
Average goals in match 2.812.73 2.76
Both teams scored 63%63% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 53%
Clean sheets 25%22% 6%
Goal before half-time 81%78% 82%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Filip ČuićOff: Vanja Pelko
  2. RijekaYellow cardDejan Petrovič
  3. RijekaSubstitutionOn: Luka MenaloOff: Niko Janković
  4. RijekaSubstitutionOn: Duje ČopOff: Ante Matej Jurič
  5. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Medin GashiOff: Jurica Pršir
  6. GoricaYellow cardMateo Leš
  7. GoricaYellow cardIvan Fiolić
  8. RijekaYellow cardJustas Lasickas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Dario BelMatches officiated: 14
4.43Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins21%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Rijeka 1 - 0 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

HNK Gorica
1 : 3
HNK Rijeka

FAQ

What was the result of Rijeka vs Gorica?

The Prva HNL match finished Rijeka 1:0 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rijeka vs Gorica?

Rijeka score 1.63 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.24. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rijeka's matches and 71% of Gorica's.

What form are Rijeka and Gorica in?

Over the last 5 games Rijeka have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rijeka vs Gorica?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.