Rijeka vs Hajduk Split: match statistics
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rijeka played Hajduk Split in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Rijeka: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hajduk Split: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rijeka scores 1.32 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Hajduk Split scores 1.65 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rijeka 45%, Hajduk Split 42%. Over 2.5: Rijeka 42%, Hajduk Split 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.68. Rijeka: 14.6 shots per match, Hajduk Split: 15.1.
Match halves
Rijeka: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.68. Hajduk Split: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Rijeka: 0-15 (9 goals). Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project an away win (2): Hajduk sit 2nd with 18 wins this season versus Rijeka’s 11 wins (4th). In the last 5 matches Hajduk scored 12 goals and average 2.0 points per game, while Rijeka scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per game. The visitors generate more high-quality chances — on average 5.13 shots on target and 59% possession away versus Rijeka’s 4.53 shots on target and 54% possession at home; conversion 12% vs 10% further favors Hajduk. Rijeka, however, have a higher xG at home (1.89) than Hajduk away (1.79) and average 1.6 goals scored, with average xG against 1.16, indicating a solid defense and the potential for a tight match. Considering Hajduk’s lower away loss rate (20% vs Rijeka’s 27% home losses) and the fact Rijeka fail to score in 33% of home games versus 27% for Hajduk away, I estimate chances at 55% for an away win, 25% for the home side and 20% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates below the league average of 55%: Rijeka 44% and Hajduk 40%, indicating a lower probability of BTTS - Yes in this match. Rijeka keep a clean sheet in 44% of home games and BTTS occurred in only 20% of their last 5 matches (1/5), while Hajduk have scored 12 goals in their last 5 (2.4 per game) with an xG of 1.79, giving them an offensive edge. Season goals averages are 1.5 for Rijeka and 1.8 for Hajduk, and shot conversion rates are 10% vs 12%, alongside xG 1.87 for Rijeka and 1.79 for Hajduk — these create chances but do not indicate extreme finishing. Additionally, over2.5 and BTTS combinations are relatively rare: 38% for Rijeka and 27% for Hajduk, which together with Rijeka’s high clean sheet rate reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. On this basis I favor the 'No' scenario (BTTS no) at an estimated 60% vs 40% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The calculated expected xG is 1.56 for Rijeka and 1.44 for Hajduk, giving a total xG = 3.00 (Rijeka: (1.87+1.24)/2=1.56, Hajduk: (1.79+1.09)/2=1.44). Season-to-date, matches with over 1.5 goals occur in 81% of Rijeka’s games and 80% of Hajduk’s, and their average goals scored are 1.5 and 1.8 respectively (total 3.3). Given xG_total=3.00, I assign an 88% probability to Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line, seasonal overs are moderate (44% Rijeka, 47% Hajduk, league average 51%), but the last 5 matches show 6 goals for Rijeka (1.2 avg) and 12 goals for Hajduk (2.4 avg), i.e. 3.6 goals per match over the last 5, which raises the probability of Over 2.5 to approximately 60%. The 3.5 line is less likely: season Over 3.5 is 13% for Rijeka and 40% for Hajduk, and the expected total xG=3.00 is below 3.5, so I estimate 32% for Over 3.5 (68% for Under). The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (88%), therefore I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the best line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from Hajduk’s form over the last 5 matches: the visitors led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%) and won 3 of 5 (60%), with an average of 1.0 first-half goals for Hajduk versus 0.4 for Rijeka. On a season basis Rijeka shows strong home performance — averaging 2.0 points per home match and a 63% home win rate — however Hajduk averages 1.8 goals per match and has an xG of 1.79 compared to Rijeka’s xG of 1.87, indicating similar chance creation. Seasonally Rijeka led at the break in 44% of matches and Hajduk in 40%, but the last 5 matches clearly favor the visitors (Hajduk 60% half-time leads vs Rijeka 20%), so a higher probability for the first half is a Hajduk lead. Rijeka also tends to score late — 8 goals in minutes 76–90 versus Hajduk’s 5 — which increases the chance of a turnaround after the break; nevertheless second-half statistics and Hajduk’s effectiveness in the last five matches (60% wins) suggest the visitors have the edge to maintain the lead. Therefore I recommend the 2/2 scenario (Hajduk leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) as the strongest signal, while acknowledging the risk of a Rijeka comeback in the closing stages.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rijeka | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Rijeka · 2 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rijeka · 1.65 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Rijeka · 0.94 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Rijeka scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
Hajduk Split scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rijeka
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Rijeka · 1.61 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rijeka
Hajduk Split
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Rijeka | Liga | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rijeka 1 - 1 - 1 Hajduk Split. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
The Prva HNL match finished Rijeka 0:0 Hajduk Split. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rijeka and Hajduk Split?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 1, Hajduk Split won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
Rijeka score 1.32 goals per game on average and Hajduk Split 1.65. The Prva HNL average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rijeka's matches and 42% of Hajduk Split's.
What form are Rijeka and Hajduk Split in?
Over the last 5 games Rijeka have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hajduk Split 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.