Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge: match statistics

Rilski Sportist have a clear advantage in creating chances at home: they average 1.33 goals, generate an xG of 1.76 and register 15 shots per match, while Sportist Svoge are yet to score away from home. The visitors do have a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.50 goals per away match and keeping a clean sheet in half of such fixtures, but they allow opponents an xG of 1.52. Svoge average just 39% possession, take 9 shots and have failed to score in 100% of their away matches, significantly limiting their chances of victory. Both teams have collected 5 points from their last five matches, but the hosts should make the most of their home advantage and the greater quality of the chances they create. A moderately high-scoring Rilski Sportist win is the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ solid defence increases the draw risk.

The strongest signal comes from Sportist Svoge’s attack, as they are yet to score away from home this season and have averaged just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches. The visitors failed to score in any of their league matches, recording BTTS - Yes at 0%, while Rilski Sportist has posted that outcome in only 33% of home games. Sportist Svoge kept a clean sheet in 50% of away fixtures, while Rilski Sportist failed to score in 33% of home matches, so a scenario with only the visitors scoring—or with no goals from the hosts—is also possible. Although Rilski’s latest xG stands at 1.75 and their defence allows opponents 1.62 xG, Svoge’s poor finishing and zero goal tally significantly reduce the chances of Goal/Goal. Against the league BTTS average of 49%, the profile of both teams, particularly the visitors, points towards BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score.

Sportist Svoge have not scored a goal yet this season, averaging just 0.6 goals across their last five matches. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games, while 100% of their matches featured a maximum of one goal in total. Rilski Sportist average 1.0 goal per match and, despite a higher recent xG of 1.75, only 40% of their last five games went Over 2.5 goals. The hosts’ season-long average xG stands at 1.31 compared with 0.98 for the visitors, indicating a home advantage but limited attacking potential from the away side. Therefore, the clearest edge lies with Under 2.5 goals, as both teams have a very low percentage of matches going above this line, particularly Svoge at 0%.

The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: both teams were level after 45 minutes in 100% of their matches to date, while Sportist Svoge have not scored a single first-half goal. The visitors kept a clean sheet before the break in 100% of their games, whereas Rilski Sportist averaged just 0.33 goals in the first half, supporting the expectation of a cautious opening. After the interval, the home side look more dangerous, averaging 0.67 goals compared with Svoge’s 0.00, while their full-match xG stands at 1.31 versus 0.98 for their opponents. Rilski’s edge in chance creation is also reflected in 5 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 3, making a draw at half-time followed by a home win at the final whistle the most likely HT/FT outcome.