Rio Ave FC vs Sporting CP: match statistics
Rio Ave FC vs Sporting CP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rio Ave FC played Sporting CP in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Rio Ave FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sporting CP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rio Ave FC scores 1.03 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Sporting CP scores 2.56 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rio Ave FC 50%, Sporting CP 56%. Over 2.5: Rio Ave FC 59%, Sporting CP 69%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.18. Rio Ave FC: 10.5 shots per match, Sporting CP: 17.7.
Match halves
Rio Ave FC: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.66. Sporting CP: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Rio Ave FC: 61-75 (8 goals). Sporting CP: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win. Sporting CP shows clearly superior metrics: the visitors scored 82 goals this season versus Rio Ave’s 33, and away they average 2.13 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded per game; Rio at home average 1.00 scored and 1.56 conceded. The quality gap is visible in xG and shots — Sporting records 1.85 xG away versus the hosts’ 1.34 xG, 16.06 average shots and 6.19 on target per game versus Rio’s 12.44 and 4.19. This season Sporting have 23 wins compared to Rio Ave’s 8, Sporting’s away win rate is 69% versus Rio’s 19% home win rate, and goal difference is +22 for Sporting against -9 for Rio. Additionally, Rio failed to score in 44% of home matches, while Sporting have a 0% rate of goalless away games and a higher conversion rate of 13% versus 8%, indicating the visitors are more likely to score and control the match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS (Both Teams To Score) as more likely. Sporting posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 69% away and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Rio Ave at home has BTTS 44% (last 5: 40%). xG comparison supports both teams scoring: Rio Ave xG_for at home 2.20 versus Sporting xG_against away 1.08, and Sporting xG_for away 1.85 versus Rio Ave xG_against 0.92. Seasonal goals averages are 3.00 for Rio Ave at home and 2.13 for Sporting away; in the last 5 matches Rio Ave averages 1.0 goals and Sporting 1.8, with both conceding on average 1.2. A counterpoint is Rio Ave’s high clean sheet rate at home (56%), which reduces BTTS probability, but the xG advantage and Sporting’s away effectiveness prevail, yielding a final split of 68% Yes (BTTS - Yes) and 32% No (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG indicate offensive advantage for both teams: Rio Ave has xG 2.20, Sporting 1.85, and opponent defenses xG against 0.92 (Rio Ave) and 1.08 (Sporting), which when averaged gives expected goals of 1.64 for the home side and 1.39 for the visitors, total 3.03. Seasonal rates confirm a high goal environment: Rio Ave have 94% of matches over 1.5 goals, Sporting 88%, and over 2.5 respectively 81% and 56%. Additionally, average shots on target 7.63 (Rio Ave) and 6.19 (Sporting) and conversion rates 16% vs 13% suggest real scoring opportunities are created, supporting the >2.5 goals scenario. Since the expected total 3.03 is well above 1.5 and above the 2.5 threshold, I assess Over 1.5 at 92% and Over 2.5 at 73% as most likely, while Over 3.5 is less likely (31%) — seasonal Over 3.5 are 44% (Rio Ave) and 25% (Sporting), and 3.03 < 3.5. I pick the Over line 1.5 as the best betting option due to consistent xG signal (3.03 expected goals) and high seasonal >1.5 match percentages (94%/88%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rio Ave led at half-time in 9 of 16 matches (56%), averaging 1.31 goals scored by the break and only 0.13 conceded, while Sporting led at half-time in 8 of 16 (50%) with 0.81 scored and 0.31 conceded. Over the full 90 minutes Rio Ave average 3.00 goals scored and 0.69 conceded, and Sporting average 2.13 scored and 0.75 conceded; the home side have a season win rate of 75% versus 69% for the visitors, indicating a slight advantage for Rio Ave in securing the full three points. xG is 2.20 for Rio Ave versus 1.85 for Sporting, and the hosts average 19.31 shots compared to 16.06 for the visitors, supporting a scenario of initiative and maintaining a lead by Rio Ave. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (36%), with alternatives being draw at half-time then a home turnaround X/1 (18%) or a half-time/full-time draw X/X (14%), taking into account the hosts’ 88% rate of clean sheets at half-time and Rio Ave’s strong post-break record (an average 2.25 points and a 69% second-half win rate).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rio Ave FC | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting CP is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Rio Ave FC · 1.6 pts / match - Sporting CP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Rio Ave FC · 2.56 goals / match - Sporting CP
Sporting CP is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Rio Ave FC · 0.72 goals / match - Sporting CP
Rio Ave FC scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Sporting CP keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 matches).
Sporting CP scores in 100% of matches (32 of 32 matches), while Rio Ave FC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rio Ave FC
Over / Under - Sporting CP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Rio Ave FC · 2 pts / match - Sporting CP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rio Ave FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rio Ave FC
Sporting CP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Rio Ave FC | Liga | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.66 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rio Ave FC 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting CP. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rio Ave FC vs Sporting CP?
The Liga NOS match finished Rio Ave FC 1:4 Sporting CP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rio Ave FC vs Sporting CP?
Rio Ave FC score 1.03 goals per game on average and Sporting CP 2.56. The Liga NOS average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rio Ave FC's matches and 56% of Sporting CP's.
What form are Rio Ave FC and Sporting CP in?
Over the last 5 games Rio Ave FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sporting CP 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rio Ave FC vs Sporting CP?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.