Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera: match statistics
Rionegro Águilas demonstrates significantly better offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.17 goals per match with an xG of 1.53, while Alianza Petrolera in away matches records only 0.33 goals on average with an xG of 0.99. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% wins) and in as many as 67% of games they failed to score, which, coupled with their poor defense (conceding an average of 2.17 goals), puts them in a very difficult situation. The form of Alianza's last five away matches (lllldd) is alarming, while the hosts, despite average home form, have an advantage in direct statistical confrontation. The goal difference of the guests away (-11) compared to the hosts at home (-1) further confirms the advantage of Rionegro Águilas. We expect a difficult but controlled victory for the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the low efficiency of both teams.
Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rionegro Águilas play Alianza Petrolera in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 27 March 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rionegro Águilas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Alianza Petrolera: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.05 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Alianza Petrolera scores 0.68 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 58%, Alianza Petrolera 42%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 47%, Alianza Petrolera 32%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rionegro Águilas has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.12. Rionegro Águilas: 10.9 shots per match, Alianza Petrolera: 10.9.
Match halves
Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Alianza Petrolera: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Alianza Petrolera: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Rionegro Águilas demonstrates significantly better offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.17 goals per match with an xG of 1.53, while Alianza Petrolera in away matches records only 0.33 goals on average with an xG of 0.99. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% wins) and in as many as 67% of games they failed to score, which, coupled with their poor defense (conceding an average of 2.17 goals), puts them in a very difficult situation. The form of Alianza's last five away matches (lllldd) is alarming, while the hosts, despite average home form, have an advantage in direct statistical confrontation. The goal difference of the guests away (-11) compared to the hosts at home (-1) further confirms the advantage of Rionegro Águilas. We expect a difficult but controlled victory for the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the low efficiency of both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rionegro Águilas is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rionegro Águilas is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 0.68 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Rionegro Águilas is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.42 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Rionegro Águilas scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Alianza Petrolera scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under — Alianza Petrolera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza Petrolera is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.21 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rionegro Águilas
Alianza Petrolera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rionegro Águilas 1 - 1 - 0 Alianza Petrolera. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 1:0 Alianza Petrolera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Alianza Petrolera?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 1, Alianza Petrolera won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.05 goals per game on average and Alianza Petrolera 0.68. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 42% of Alianza Petrolera's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Alianza Petrolera in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Alianza Petrolera 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rionegro Águilas vs Alianza Petrolera: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.