Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
Rionegro Águilas displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, supporting the hosts' advantage. Atlético Nacional faces serious issues in away matches—only 33% wins, 67% losses, and just 0.67 goals scored per match on average, representing a significant weakness. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG) at their own stadium (1.71 vs 1.34 for the visitors away), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Atlético Nacional's recent form over five matches (lwwll) is unstable with three losses, whereas Rionegro shows more balance. Given the home advantage, better offensive statistics for the hosts in home matches, and the visitors' weakness on the road, a victory for Rionegro Águilas is predicted, although the difference in class between the teams could also lead to a draw.
Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rionegro Águilas played Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rionegro Águilas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.13 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 2.14 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 63%, Atlético Nacional 43%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 38%, Atlético Nacional 71%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.30. Rionegro Águilas: 12.1 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.7.
Match halves
Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
Rionegro Águilas: 46-60 (4 goals). Atlético Nacional: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rionegro Águilas displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, supporting the hosts' advantage. Atlético Nacional faces serious issues in away matches—only 33% wins, 67% losses, and just 0.67 goals scored per match on average, representing a significant weakness. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG) at their own stadium (1.71 vs 1.34 for the visitors away), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Atlético Nacional's recent form over five matches (lwwll) is unstable with three losses, whereas Rionegro shows more balance. Given the home advantage, better offensive statistics for the hosts in home matches, and the visitors' weakness on the road, a victory for Rionegro Águilas is predicted, although the difference in class between the teams could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 2.14 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Rionegro Águilas scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.71 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rionegro Águilas
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rionegro Águilas 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 1:2 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.14. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 43% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.