Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of 15 October 2026

Rionegro Águilas vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rionegro Águilas vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rionegro Águilas play Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Current form

Rionegro Águilas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rionegro Águilas scores 1.16 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 63%, Deportes Tolima 51%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 47%, Deportes Tolima 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Rionegro Águilas: 12.1 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 14.1.

Match halves

Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (13 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.61)
(3.13)
(2.61)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
1.16Goals scored / match1.3
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
1.34Goals conceded / match1
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
51%Average possession56%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3.69Shots on target / match4.86
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.06Shots per match14.08
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3.69Shots on target4.86
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
9.6%Shot conversion9.2%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
51%Possession56%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
1.3xG for1.53
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
1.33xG against1.2
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

Shooting quality

Rionegro Águilas: BalancedDeportes Tolima: Dominant
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rionegro Águilas is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 0.8 pts / match - Deportes Tolima

Rionegro Águilas
LLWDD
Season result split
31% W38% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-12-10
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Deportes Tolima
DDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W32% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-12-10
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportes Tolima is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.3 goals / match - Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.34 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1 goals / match - Deportes Tolima

Rionegro Águilas scoring profile: strong

Rionegro Águilas scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 matches).

Deportes Tolima scoring profile: very strong

Deportes Tolima scores in 70% of matches (26 of 37 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).

37Goals scored (season)48
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
43Goals conceded (season)37
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
2.5Average goals in match2.3
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal70%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
38%2 goals51%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3%3 goals5%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0%4 goals3%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal68%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
41%2 goals22%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
6%3 goals11%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3%4 goals0%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Rionegro Águilas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 32 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time19%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
19%Scored in both halves27%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
40%BTTS - last 560%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportes Tolima is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.51 pts / match - Deportes Tolima

Rionegro Águilas - half-time state
19% leading47% draw34% trailing
Deportes Tolima - half-time state
35% leading46% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1.51
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0.34Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0.88Average goals (1st half)1
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
56%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
69%No goal before half-time51%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.46
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
38%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima
38%No goal after half-time51%
Rionegro ÁguilasDeportes Tolima

Rionegro Águilas - second-half results

41% W25% D34% L
33
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportes Tolima - second-half results

38% W32% D30% L
56
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.51
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rionegro Águilas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Deportes Tolima - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rionegro Águilas
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
10
31-45
8
9
46-60
5
8
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Deportes Tolima
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
10
9
46-60
7
6
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+53%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rionegro Águilas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Deportes Tolima

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Rionegro ÁguilasLigaDeportes Tolima
Average goals in match• 2.502.55▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▲ 63%55%▼ 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 47%48%▼ 41%
Clean sheets▼ 16%27%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%78%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Rionegro Águilas 1 - 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Deportes Tolima
4 : 1
Rionegro Águilas
Rionegro Águilas SA
1 : 2
Club Deportes Tolima SA
Club Deportes Tolima SA
1 : 2
Rionegro Águilas SA

FAQ

When do Rionegro Águilas and Deportes Tolima play?

Rionegro Águilas face Deportes Tolima on 18 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Deportes Tolima?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 1, Deportes Tolima won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Deportes Tolima?

Rionegro Águilas score 1.16 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.30. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 51% of Deportes Tolima's.

What form are Rionegro Águilas and Deportes Tolima in?

Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Deportes Tolima?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.