Rionegro Águilas vs Junior: match statistics
Rionegro Águilas vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rionegro Águilas played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Rionegro Águilas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Junior: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.07 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Junior scores 1.40 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 60%, Junior 53%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 40%, Junior 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.17. Rionegro Águilas: 10.9 shots per match, Junior: 13.1.
Match halves
Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73. Junior: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Rionegro Águilas: 46-60 (5 goals). Junior: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched game: in the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals and averaged 1.4 points in that period. Junior holds a seasonal edge in offensive efficiency — 21 goals scored versus 16 for Rionegro, averaging 4.57 shots on target per away match compared to 3.63 for the home side, and a conversion rate of 13% vs 10%. Rionegro, however, generates higher expected goal opportunities at home (avg xG 1.41 vs 1.24 for Junior away) and concedes slightly fewer goals at home (1.13 vs 1.29), which offsets the visitors’ finishing advantage. In the last five games the hosts conceded 7 goals versus 5 for Junior, and Rionegro failed to score in 25% of home matches compared to 14% for Junior, indicating risk for both teams. Considering these figures, the most likely scenario is a draw (proposed probabilities: 30% home, 40% draw, 30% away).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show similar season BTTS rates: Rionegro 50% and Junior 57%, with the league average at 56%, indicating a bias toward a Goal/Goal outcome. xG analysis confirms balanced offensive/defensive dynamics: Rionegro generates xG 1.58 while Junior concedes xG 1.58; Junior posts xG 1.24 versus xG conceded by Rionegro 1.17 — both sides therefore have realistic scoring opportunities. Defensive and formation factors support this: clean sheet expected rates are 25% (Rionegro) and 29% (Junior), and in the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals each (1.0 per game) with average goals conceded of 1.4 and 1.0. Shot-on-target stats (4.75 vs 4.57) and a high share of games over 2.5 goals (63% for the home team and 57% for the away team) further back BTTS - Yes. I assess the probability at 65% for BTTS - Yes versus 35% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are based on xG: home xG is 1.58 versus Junior’s conceded xG 1.58, implying about 1.58 goals for Rionegro, and Junior xG 1.24 versus home conceded xG 1.17 implies about 1.21 for the visitors; total ≈2.79. Seasonal averages show hosts score 1.38 and concede 1.38, visitors score 1.43 and concede 1.29; hosts have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals and Junior 86%. Both teams have BTTS rates of 50% and 57% respectively, which increases the probability of a higher total; the league average is 2.5 goals, while the expected 2.79 here is higher. Historical support for Over 2.5 is 63% for hosts and 57% for guests (≈60% on average), so I rate Over 2.5 at 64% (Under 36%), whereas Over 3.5 is rare (13–14%) and I give it a 14% chance. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line) due to 100% hosts and 86% guests over 1.5 and the expected 2.79 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time indicators point to a draw: Rionegro led at the break in 4 matches this season (50%), but in the last 5 home fixtures the hosts were level at half-time in 4 of 5 cases (80%), and the average goals at half-time are 0.63 for the hosts versus 0.86 for Junior. The hosts, however, generate the most chances – home xG is 1.58 versus 1.24 for the visitors and 14.75 shots created versus 11.14 – which increases the likelihood of a first-half goal (seasonal share of HTs with at least one goal: 100% hosts, 86% visitors). Over 90 minutes, the stronger signal is Junior: they win 57% of matches this season and average 1.71 points per game versus 1.63 for the hosts, and their chance conversion rate is 13% compared to 9% for the hosts, which favors the visitors in the longer term. Therefore the most reliable scenario from the data is a draw at half-time and a Junior victory after the final whistle (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Junior is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.8 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.4 goals / match - Junior
Rionegro Águilas is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.33 goals / match - Junior
Rionegro Águilas scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Junior scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.6 pts / match - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rionegro Águilas
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 70% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rionegro Águilas 0 - 1 - 1 Junior. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 0:3 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Junior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 0, Junior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Junior?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.07 goals per game on average and Junior 1.40. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 53% of Junior's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Junior 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Junior?
The statistical background for Rionegro Águilas vs Junior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.