Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rionegro Águilas play Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Rionegro Águilas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Once Caldas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.05 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Once Caldas scores 1.57 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 58%, Once Caldas 76%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 47%, Once Caldas 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.17. Rionegro Águilas: 10.9 shots per match, Once Caldas: 14.3.
Match halves
Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Once Caldas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Once Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Once Caldas holds a clear edge in efficiency — 28 goals scored this season versus 16 for Rionegro, averaging 4.38 SOT on the road vs 3.56 SOT for the hosts and a higher conversion rate of 11% vs 8%. Rionegro at home generates more volume (13.11 shots per match and xG 1.41) compared to 10.25 shots and xG 1.23 for the visitors away, which indicates better chance creation by the hosts but lower finishing quality. Defensively Once Caldas performs better in outcomes — conceding 0.88 goals on average away versus 1.33 conceded by Rionegro at home, even though the visitors allow 1.58 xG on the road, meaning their actual defensive results outperform the underlying xG. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 2 wins and 3 losses, while the visitors have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss; both teams average 1.2 points per game in this period, indicating similar form. The key advantage for Once Caldas is greater finishing efficiency (28 vs 16) and a much lower share of goalless matches (13% vs 33%), therefore the most likely outcome I see is a split of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.6 pts / match - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.57 goals / match - Once Caldas
Once Caldas is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas
Rionegro Águilas scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Once Caldas scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under — Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.43 pts / match - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rionegro Águilas
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rionegro Águilas 0 - 1 - 1 Once Caldas. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 1:3 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Once Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 0, Once Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.05 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.57. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 76% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Once Caldas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas?
The statistical background for Rionegro Águilas vs Once Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.