Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance: match statistics
Rivers United displays impressive home form with a 79% win rate and as many as 79% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them one of the strongest home teams in the league. The team holds the top position in the table and has a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals while conceding only 0.29 per match. Bendel Insurance shows significant problems in away matches, losing as many as 43% of fixtures and failing to score in half of their away encounters (FTS% 50%). The difference in expected goals is clear – Rivers generates an average of 1.71 xG at home against only 0.78 xG conceded, while Bendel Insurance has 1.29 xG for and as many as 1.63 xG against in away games. Considering the home side's dominance on their own turf, the visitors' poor away form, and the difference in the quality of play displayed, I strongly favor a Rivers United victory in this match.
Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rivers United played Bendel Insurance in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Rivers United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bendel Insurance: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rivers United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.54 goals per match. Bendel Insurance scores 1.18 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rivers United 35%, Bendel Insurance 39%. Over 2.5: Rivers United 19%, Bendel Insurance 25%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Bendel Insurance has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Rivers United: 8.3 shots per match, Bendel Insurance: 8.7.
Match halves
Rivers United: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Rivers United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Bendel Insurance: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rivers United displays impressive home form with a 79% win rate and as many as 79% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them one of the strongest home teams in the league. The team holds the top position in the table and has a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals while conceding only 0.29 per match. Bendel Insurance shows significant problems in away matches, losing as many as 43% of fixtures and failing to score in half of their away encounters (FTS% 50%). The difference in expected goals is clear – Rivers generates an average of 1.71 xG at home against only 0.78 xG conceded, while Bendel Insurance has 1.29 xG for and as many as 1.63 xG against in away games. Considering the home side's dominance on their own turf, the visitors' poor away form, and the difference in the quality of play displayed, I strongly favor a Rivers United victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bendel Insurance is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Rivers United · 1.18 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Rivers United is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.54 goals / match - Rivers United · 0.86 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Rivers United scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Bendel Insurance scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 62% (16 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rivers United
Over / Under - Bendel Insurance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bendel Insurance is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Rivers United · 1.46 pts / match - Bendel Insurance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rivers United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bendel Insurance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rivers United
Bendel Insurance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Rivers United | Liga | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.46 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 35% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 26% | • 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 38% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 60% | • 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rivers United 0 - 1 - 0 Bendel Insurance. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance?
The NPFL match finished Rivers United 3:1 Bendel Insurance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance?
Rivers United score 0.92 goals per game on average and Bendel Insurance 1.18. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Rivers United's matches and 39% of Bendel Insurance's.
What form are Rivers United and Bendel Insurance in?
Over the last 5 games Rivers United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bendel Insurance 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.