Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK: match statistics
Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rizespor played Gaziantep FK in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rizespor: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Gaziantep FK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rizespor scores 1.32 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Gaziantep FK scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rizespor 54%, Gaziantep FK 64%. Over 2.5: Rizespor 54%, Gaziantep FK 64%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Gaziantep FK has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.32. Rizespor: 12.5 shots per match, Gaziantep FK: 13.0.
Match halves
Rizespor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Gaziantep FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Rizespor: 76-90+ (9 goals). Gaziantep FK: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Rizespor win. The hosts hold a clear advantage in home metrics: they average 1.21 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match with an average xG of 1.38 versus opponents’ xG 1.51, while Gaziantep on the road average 1.36 goals scored and 1.71 conceded with an attacking xG of 1.14 and xG against 1.77. Rizespor generates more chances (avg. 13.14 shots and 49% possession in home matches) compared to Gaziantep (10.64 shots and 44% possession away), and also have a higher home clean sheet rate (43% vs 29%). The visitors are more efficient in chance conversion (13% conversion vs 9% for the hosts), but in the last 5 matches Gaziantep conceded 11 goals versus 8 conceded by Rizespor, indicating a weaker defense. Therefore I assess the probabilities as: Rizespor 50%, draw 30%, Gaziantep win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I choose the "Yes" scenario for BTTS because both teams show strong goal signals: season BTTS rates are 71% for Rizespor and 57% for Gaziantep, and in the last 5 matches these are 60% and 80% respectively. Rizespor generates more chances — average xG 1.62, 15.29 shots and 5.07 on target per match — while Gaziantep has been conceding heavily recently (11 conceded in 5 matches, 2.2 per match) and has a season xG against of 1.77, which favors goals for the home side. Conversely, Gaziantep can also score: season 1.36 goals (37 this season) with higher conversion 13% and 10.64 shots per match, and the home team has only 7% of matches with a clean sheet this season, so the visitors have realistic chances to score. Additionally the league shows BTTS 54%, and both teams have 64% of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating an open game with a high probability of goals from both sides. Based on this I assign BTTS "Yes" 70% and "No" 30%, because the combination of higher home xG (1.62 vs 1.14 for the away team), high shot volume and vulnerable defenses for both teams in recent rounds (8 and 11 conceded in 5 matches) provides a stronger signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects a total of approximately 2.92 goals: home ~1.70 (attacking xG 1.62 vs opponent concedes xG 1.77) and away ~1.22 (attacking xG 1.14 vs home concedes 1.30). Both teams have a high share of matches with over 1.5 goals — 93% for Rizespor and 86% for Gaziantep — and the share of matches over 2.5 is 64% for each side, which increases the likelihood of exceeding the 2.5 line. Rizespor averages 15.29 shots with 5.07 on target, Gaziantep 10.64 with 3.79 on target; with conversion rates of 8% vs 13% the home side’s higher volume of attempts raises the chance of more goals. Rizespor has only 7% clean sheets this season versus 29% for Gaziantep, and both teams record both-teams-to-score situations in 71% (home) and 57% (away) of matches, further supporting a both-teams-to-score outcome. Based on this, the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5: total xG 2.92, high 93%/86% matches over 1.5 and the home side’s low 7% clean sheet rate favor Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rizespor has the advantage in chance creation: xG 1.62 vs 1.14 and an average of 15.29 shots with 5.07 on target compared to Gaziantep’s 10.64 and 3.79, which increases the likelihood that the hosts will dominate. In the last five matches Rizespor led at the break in 40% of cases (2 of 5) and scored 8 first-half goals, whereas Gaziantep scored only 3, so there is a strong signal for the hosts to have the lead at half-time. Over the season the hosts have 24 first-half goals vs 14 for the visitors, but they also concede an average of 1.0 goals by the break (visitors 0.5), so a half-time draw and a turnaround after the break remain realistic scenarios. Considering the xG and shot-volume advantage and the hosts’ more frequent first-half scoring, I assign the highest probability to HT/FT 1/1 (26%), with significant shares for X/X (23%) and X/1 (19%) as alternatives. The visitors, however, are more efficient per shot (conversion 13% vs 8%) and have 29% clean sheets on the season, so the combined probability for scenarios favorable to Gaziantep (1/2 + X/2 + 2/X + 2/2) is about 24%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rizespor | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rizespor is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rizespor · 1.2 pts / match - Gaziantep FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rizespor is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Rizespor · 1.68 goals / match - Gaziantep FK
Rizespor scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Gaziantep FK keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Gaziantep FK scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rizespor
Over / Under - Gaziantep FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rizespor is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Rizespor · 1.04 pts / match - Gaziantep FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rizespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gaziantep FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rizespor
Gaziantep FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Rizespor | Liga | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rizespor 0 - 1 - 0 Gaziantep FK. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK?
The Süper Lig match finished Rizespor 2:1 Gaziantep FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK?
Rizespor score 1.32 goals per game on average and Gaziantep FK 1.32. The Süper Lig average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Rizespor's matches and 64% of Gaziantep FK's.
What form are Rizespor and Gaziantep FK in?
Over the last 5 games Rizespor have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Gaziantep FK 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.