RKC Waalwijk vs Den Bosch: match statistics
RKC Waalwijk shows solid home form with a 44% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive run in their last 5 overall matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match with an xG of 1.71, confirming their efficiency. Den Bosch performs significantly worse in away matches - only a 25% win rate, 56% losses, and a goal difference of -12. The visitors concede an average of 2.19 goals away from home with an xG Against of 1.82, indicating defensive issues. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (2.2 PTS/M vs 1.2 PTS/M). Considering all statistics, RKC Waalwijk has a clear advantage and should secure three points, although Den Bosch may put up resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw.
RKC Waalwijk vs Den Bosch: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RKC Waalwijk played Den Bosch in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
RKC Waalwijk: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Den Bosch: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
RKC Waalwijk scores 1.69 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Den Bosch scores 1.72 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RKC Waalwijk 75%, Den Bosch 72%. Over 2.5: RKC Waalwijk 66%, Den Bosch 69%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.57. RKC Waalwijk: 14.8 shots per match, Den Bosch: 13.3.
Match halves
RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.84. Den Bosch: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (12 goals). Den Bosch: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RKC Waalwijk shows solid home form with a 44% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive run in their last 5 overall matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match with an xG of 1.71, confirming their efficiency. Den Bosch performs significantly worse in away matches - only a 25% win rate, 56% losses, and a goal difference of -12. The visitors concede an average of 2.19 goals away from home with an xG Against of 1.82, indicating defensive issues. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (2.2 PTS/M vs 1.2 PTS/M). Considering all statistics, RKC Waalwijk has a clear advantage and should secure three points, although Den Bosch may put up resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RKC Waalwijk | Den Bosch | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RKC Waalwijk is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.2 pts / match - Den Bosch
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RKC Waalwijk is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.78 goals / match - Den Bosch
RKC Waalwijk scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Den Bosch keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Den Bosch scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
Over / Under - Den Bosch
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RKC Waalwijk is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.34 pts / match - Den Bosch
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Den Bosch - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RKC Waalwijk
Den Bosch
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| RKC Waalwijk | Liga | Den Bosch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.16 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RKC Waalwijk 0 - 1 - 0 Den Bosch. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RKC Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
The Eerste Divisie match finished RKC Waalwijk 2:3 Den Bosch. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
RKC Waalwijk score 1.69 goals per game on average and Den Bosch 1.72. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 72% of Den Bosch's.
What form are RKC Waalwijk and Den Bosch in?
Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Den Bosch 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


