RKC Waalwijk vs Emmen: match statistics

RKC Waalwijk have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Emmen have won 2 games, scored 8 goals and conceded as many as 12. At home, the hosts average 3.5 goals per match and remain unbeaten, whereas the visitors concede an average of 3.67 goals away from home and have lost 67% of their matches. Emmen do create more chances, posting an away xG of 2.13 compared with RKC's home xG of 1.77, but the hosts are more clinical in front of goal, converting 23% of their shots against 13%. RKC's defence is not entirely convincing either, as they concede an average of 1.75 goals at home. A home win therefore looks the most likely outcome, although the hosts do not have a commanding edge.

BTTS landed in 60% of RKC Waalwijk’s home matches and 67% of Emmen’s away matches, pointing to a stronger likelihood of both teams scoring. The hosts average 2.2 goals at home, while the visitors concede as many as 3.67 goals per away game, making an RKC goal highly likely. Emmen also have strong prospects of finding the net: they average 2.33 goals away from home and register an xG of 2.13, while RKC concede an average of 1.2 goals at home. In their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of games, although RKC’s 40% home clean-sheet rate is a significant counterargument. However, both sides’ attacking records outweigh this risk, making a goal from each team the more likely outcome.

RKC average 2.2 goals at home, while Emmen concede as many as 3.67 away, giving the hosts a clear chance to score several goals. This is borne out by the last 5 matches: RKC scored an average of 2.8 goals, while Emmen conceded 2.4. The visitors could also get on the scoresheet, as their average xG is 2.13, although RKC concede only 1.2 goals per game at home. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 100% of Emmen matches and 60% of RKC matches; with a projected total of 3.75 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick, despite higher lines also having a solid case.

RKC Waalwijk have won 4 of their 5 home matches, while Emmen have lost 2 of their 3 away games, conceding an average of 3.67 goals in those defeats. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 5 home matches and were level at half-time in the other 3; away from home, the visitors were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 3 matches and did not lead in any of them. This points to RKC taking the lead at the break, although the hosts’ frequent half-time draws also make a win after the break a relevant possibility. After half-time, RKC average 1.6 goals at home, while Emmen concede 1.67 away, strengthening the hosts’ chances of holding on to their lead. Emmen remain dangerous in attack, with an average xG of 2.13 compared with RKC’s 2.06, but their weaker defence and away results point to 1/1 as the most likely HT/FT outcome.