RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda: match statistics
RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RKC Waalwijk played NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Mandemakers Stadion. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
RKC Waalwijk: 0-4-0, 1.00 points/match. NAC Breda: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
RKC Waalwijk scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.75 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RKC Waalwijk 100%, NAC Breda 75%. Over 2.5: RKC Waalwijk 50%, NAC Breda 75%. League level: BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.22 vs 1.81. RKC Waalwijk: 15.5 shots per match, NAC Breda: 22.8.
Match halves
RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. NAC Breda: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (3 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.79 goals per match, BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NAC Breda sit 8th, while RKC Waalwijk are 11th. The visitors have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 2 draws, compared with the hosts’ 5 draws. Breda create more high-quality chances away from home: their average xG stands at 2.12, compared with RKC’s 1.87, and they also average 23 shots per match against their opponents’ 16. Both teams score 2 goals per game, whether at home or away, but RKC concede an average of 2 goals, compared with NAC’s 1.5, giving the visitors a slight defensive edge. The hosts have drawn all of their home matches so far and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making a draw a realistic outcome. However, NAC’s greater possession share (66% versus 44%) and superior chance quality favour an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: RKC have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches, while NAC have done so in as many as 100%, compared with a league average of 78%. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and NAC score 2.0 goals per game. Across their last five outings, BTTS occurred in 100% of RKC matches and 80% of NAC matches; the teams scored an average of 1.4 and 2.0 goals per game, respectively. Their attacking potential is supported by high xG figures: 1.77 for RKC and 2.20 for NAC over the last five matches, as well as season averages of 22.5 and 23.0 shots taken. The BTTS - Yes scenario is the most likely outcome, as both defenses regularly allow opponents to create chances, with NAC in particular consistently both scoring and conceding goals.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have played matches with at least 2 goals in 100% of cases, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet. RKC average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while NAC score 2.0 and also allow opponents an average of 1.5 goals. The creative potential remains high: RKC’s average xG is 2.32 and NAC’s 2.12, with 22.5 and 23.0 shots per match, respectively. In their last five matches, both teams have frequently seen both sides score, with RKC recording this in 100% and NAC in 80% of matches. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as the open nature of both defences significantly reduces the likelihood of a match ending with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
RKC hold a slight edge in projected chance quality: the hosts’ average xG is 2.32, while NAC allow an average of 1.43 xG. The hosts also record an average of six shots on target compared with NAC’s five, although the visitors are more clinical in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match versus RKC’s 1.5. In the first halves, RKC have led in 50% of their matches so far, while NAC have yet to take the lead, conceding an average of 1.0 goal before the break. The 1/1 scenario is further supported by RKC’s advantage across the last five second halves, in which they won 60% of those periods, while NAC have kept a clean sheet after half-time in only 20% of cases. The risk remains significant, as NAC are unbeaten this season and both teams are averaging a high 3.5 goals per match; however, home advantage and RKC’s superior xG profile favour them maintaining their lead in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RKC Waalwijk | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NAC Breda is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 goals / match - NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 goals / match - NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RKC Waalwijk
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| RKC Waalwijk | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.79 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 74% | • 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
The Eerste Divisie match finished RKC Waalwijk 4:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
RKC Waalwijk score 1.50 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.75. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 100% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 75% of NAC Breda's.
What form are RKC Waalwijk and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 0-4-0 record (1.00 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.