RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II: match statistics
RKC Waalwijk displays significantly better form over the last five matches, earning 2 points per game compared to Utrecht II's 1.4. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, whereas the visitors recorded only two wins. A key advantage for RKC is their home disposition—averaging 1.55 goals per home match with an xG of 1.85, highlighting their offensive efficiency. Utrecht II struggles on the road, losing 45% of their away games and keeping a clean sheet in just 9%. Furthermore, the visitors are on a negative streak of five consecutive away defeats. While both teams concede a similar number of goals, the possession advantage (52% vs 47%) and RKC's superior chance conversion favor the hosts. I expect a win for RKC Waalwijk, though Utrecht II poses a threat given their average of 1.36 goals on the road.
RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RKC Waalwijk played Utrecht II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 26 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
RKC Waalwijk: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Utrecht II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
RKC Waalwijk scores 1.65 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Utrecht II scores 1.74 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RKC Waalwijk 74%, Utrecht II 70%. Over 2.5: RKC Waalwijk 61%, Utrecht II 70%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.60. RKC Waalwijk: 15.3 shots per match, Utrecht II: 14.1.
Match halves
RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.87. Utrecht II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (10 goals). Utrecht II: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RKC Waalwijk displays significantly better form over the last five matches, earning 2 points per game compared to Utrecht II's 1.4. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, whereas the visitors recorded only two wins. A key advantage for RKC is their home disposition—averaging 1.55 goals per home match with an xG of 1.85, highlighting their offensive efficiency. Utrecht II struggles on the road, losing 45% of their away games and keeping a clean sheet in just 9%. Furthermore, the visitors are on a negative streak of five consecutive away defeats. While both teams concede a similar number of goals, the possession advantage (52% vs 47%) and RKC's superior chance conversion favor the hosts. I expect a win for RKC Waalwijk, though Utrecht II poses a threat given their average of 1.36 goals on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RKC Waalwijk | Utrecht II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht II is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.74 goals / match - Utrecht II
RKC Waalwijk is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.83 goals / match - Utrecht II
RKC Waalwijk scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Utrecht II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Utrecht II scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
Over / Under - Utrecht II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RKC Waalwijk is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.22 pts / match - Utrecht II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 39%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Utrecht II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| RKC Waalwijk | Liga | Utrecht II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.22 | 3.34 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RKC Waalwijk 0 - 0 - 1 Utrecht II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished RKC Waalwijk 2:2 Utrecht II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II?
RKC Waalwijk score 1.65 goals per game on average and Utrecht II 1.74. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 70% of Utrecht II's.
What form are RKC Waalwijk and Utrecht II in?
Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Utrecht II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.