Rochdale vs Boston United: match statistics
Rochdale is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 27 wins this season and only 4 defeats. The hosts demonstrate dominant form at home, winning 83% of home matches with just 11% losses, confirmed by a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The goal difference in home games stands at +27, and the team scores an average of 2.17 goals while conceding only 0.67 per match. Boston United, despite good recent form (2.2 points per match), has significantly weaker away statistics – only 39% wins, 28% losses, and a goal difference of just +5 in away games. Rochdale's advantage in possession (58% vs 43%), shot efficiency (5.83 vs 3.67 shots on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.77 vs 1.38) further argues for a high probability of a victory for the hosts.
Rochdale vs Boston United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rochdale played Boston United in National League (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rochdale: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Boston United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rochdale scores 1.94 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Boston United scores 1.33 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rochdale 49%, Boston United 61%. Over 2.5: Rochdale 54%, Boston United 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Rochdale has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.37. Rochdale: 12.8 shots per match, Boston United: 10.1.
Match halves
Rochdale: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.89. Boston United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Rochdale: 31-45+ (17 goals). Boston United: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 27 wins this season and only 4 defeats. The hosts demonstrate dominant form at home, winning 83% of home matches with just 11% losses, confirmed by a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The goal difference in home games stands at +27, and the team scores an average of 2.17 goals while conceding only 0.67 per match. Boston United, despite good recent form (2.2 points per match), has significantly weaker away statistics – only 39% wins, 28% losses, and a goal difference of just +5 in away games. Rochdale's advantage in possession (58% vs 43%), shot efficiency (5.83 vs 3.67 shots on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.77 vs 1.38) further argues for a high probability of a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.33 goals / match - Boston United
Rochdale is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.47 goals / match - Boston United
Rochdale scores in 97% of matches (34 of 35 matches), while Boston United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
Boston United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 51% (18 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Boston United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Rochdale · 1.14 pts / match - Boston United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boston United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rochdale
Boston United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.66 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 51% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rochdale 1 - 0 - 0 Boston United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rochdale vs Boston United?
The National League match finished Rochdale 1:0 Boston United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Boston United?
Rochdale score 1.94 goals per game on average and Boston United 1.33. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Rochdale's matches and 61% of Boston United's.
What form are Rochdale and Boston United in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Boston United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Boston United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.