Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
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Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rochdale play Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 20 October 2026. Venue: Crown Oil Arena.
Current form
Rochdale: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rochdale scores 1.10 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.30 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rochdale 40%, Grimsby Town 50%. Over 2.5: Rochdale 50%, Grimsby Town 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.02. Rochdale: 8.6 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 15.0.
Match halves
Rochdale: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Rochdale: 0-15 (3 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rochdale is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Rochdale · 1.2 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.3 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.1 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Rochdale scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Rochdale · 1.5 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.48 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Rochdale and Grimsby Town play?
Rochdale face Grimsby Town on 20 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Crown Oil Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Grimsby Town?
Rochdale score 1.10 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.30. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Rochdale's matches and 50% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Rochdale and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town?
The statistical background for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.