Rochdale vs Tamworth: match statistics
Rochdale are the clear favorite for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 29 wins this season and a +28 goal difference at home. The hosts have won 84% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their games. Tamworth are a distant 12th with a negative goal difference of -18 away from home, losing 53% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.16 goals per game. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Rochdale have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The xG stats (1.78 vs 1.32) and possession advantage (58% vs 37%) further confirm Rochdale's dominance, making a home win the most likely scenario.
Rochdale vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rochdale played Tamworth in National League (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Rochdale: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Tamworth: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rochdale scores 1.95 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Tamworth scores 1.32 and concedes 1.66. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rochdale 50%, Tamworth 71%. Over 2.5: Rochdale 55%, Tamworth 58%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Rochdale has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.47. Rochdale: 12.9 shots per match, Tamworth: 11.1.
Match halves
Rochdale: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.92. Tamworth: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Rochdale: 31-45+ (17 goals). Tamworth: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale are the clear favorite for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 29 wins this season and a +28 goal difference at home. The hosts have won 84% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their games. Tamworth are a distant 12th with a negative goal difference of -18 away from home, losing 53% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.16 goals per game. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Rochdale have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The xG stats (1.78 vs 1.32) and possession advantage (58% vs 37%) further confirm Rochdale's dominance, making a home win the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rochdale is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Rochdale · 1.2 pts / match - Tamworth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.32 goals / match - Tamworth
Rochdale is 118% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Rochdale · 1.66 goals / match - Tamworth
Rochdale scores in 97% of matches (37 of 38 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
Tamworth scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Tamworth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Rochdale · 1.13 pts / match - Tamworth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rochdale
Tamworth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.94 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 57% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rochdale 1 - 0 - 0 Tamworth. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rochdale vs Tamworth?
The National League match finished Rochdale 3:2 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Tamworth?
Rochdale score 1.95 goals per game on average and Tamworth 1.32. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rochdale's matches and 71% of Tamworth's.
What form are Rochdale and Tamworth in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tamworth 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Tamworth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.