Roda JC vs Vitesse: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. At home, Roda JC has a goal difference of 0 and a win rate of just 27%, highlighting their struggles to capitalize on home advantage. Vitesse presents an identical distribution of away results (33% wins, draws, and losses), with a slightly better average of goals scored (1.6 vs 1.53). Both teams share similar form over their last 5 matches (PPG: 1.6 vs 1.4) and their xG values are very close. The high average of total goals in both teams' matches (3.07 for Roda, 3.27 for Vitesse) suggests an open game, but the parity in strength points to a draw as the most probable outcome.
Roda JC vs Vitesse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Roda JC played Vitesse in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Roda JC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vitesse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Roda JC scores 1.61 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Vitesse scores 1.55 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Roda JC 68%, Vitesse 68%. Over 2.5: Roda JC 65%, Vitesse 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Vitesse has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.62. Roda JC: 14.5 shots per match, Vitesse: 15.2.
Match halves
Roda JC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.97. Vitesse: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Roda JC: 76-90+ (14 goals). Vitesse: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. At home, Roda JC has a goal difference of 0 and a win rate of just 27%, highlighting their struggles to capitalize on home advantage. Vitesse presents an identical distribution of away results (33% wins, draws, and losses), with a slightly better average of goals scored (1.6 vs 1.53). Both teams share similar form over their last 5 matches (PPG: 1.6 vs 1.4) and their xG values are very close. The high average of total goals in both teams' matches (3.07 for Roda, 3.27 for Vitesse) suggests an open game, but the parity in strength points to a draw as the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Roda JC | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Roda JC is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Roda JC · 1.4 pts / match - Vitesse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roda JC is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Roda JC · 1.58 goals / match - Vitesse
Roda JC scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
Vitesse scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Roda JC keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Roda JC
Over / Under - Vitesse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitesse is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Roda JC · 1.42 pts / match - Vitesse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Roda JC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitesse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Roda JC
Vitesse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Roda JC | Liga | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.10 | 3.21 | • 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 20% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Roda JC 0 - 1 - 0 Vitesse. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Roda JC vs Vitesse?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Roda JC 0:1 Vitesse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Roda JC vs Vitesse?
Roda JC score 1.61 goals per game on average and Vitesse 1.55. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Roda JC's matches and 68% of Vitesse's.
What form are Roda JC and Vitesse in?
Over the last 5 games Roda JC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vitesse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roda JC vs Vitesse?
The statistical background for Roda JC vs Vitesse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.