Roda JC vs Willem II: match statistics
Roda JC vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Roda JC play Willem II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 16:45. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Roda JC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Willem II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Roda JC scores 1.55 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Willem II scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Roda JC 63%, Willem II 55%. Over 2.5: Roda JC 61%, Willem II 55%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Willem II has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.58. Roda JC: 14.1 shots per match, Willem II: 14.6.
Match halves
Roda JC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Willem II: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Roda JC: 76-90+ (15 goals). Willem II: 16-30 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Willem II is the favorite despite being away: they sit 3rd in the table, have a 47% away win rate and a positive away goal difference (+6), whereas Roda at home have only a 24% win rate and a home goal difference of -1. In the last five matches Willem II scored 10 goals and average 1.82 goals away, while Roda have 5 goals in five and average 1.41 goals at home; the visitors also have a higher shot conversion rate of 13% versus Roda’s 9%. The difference in offensive reliability is further confirmed by the fact that Roda failed to score in 24% of home games, while Willem II failed to score in only 6% of away matches. Defensively both teams concede an average of 1.47 goals per match, but Willem II allows 1.95 xG on the road compared to 1.4 xG conceded by Roda at home, meaning the visitors are more often exposed to dangerous situations, so a draw is not out of the question. Considering a 47% away win rate, 3 wins for Willem II in the last 5 matches and the advantage in conversion and goals scored, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Roda JC | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Roda JC · 3 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Willem II is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Roda JC · 1.11 goals / match - Willem II
Roda JC scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Willem II scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Roda JC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Roda JC
Over / Under — Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Willem II is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Roda JC · 1.74 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Roda JC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Roda JC
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Roda JC | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.97 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 84% | 86% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Roda JC 1 - 0 - 0 Willem II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Roda JC vs Willem II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Roda JC 0:1 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Roda JC vs Willem II?
Roda JC score 1.55 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.55. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Roda JC's matches and 55% of Willem II's.
What form are Roda JC and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games Roda JC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Willem II 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roda JC vs Willem II?
The statistical background for Roda JC vs Willem II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


