Rodez vs Bastia: match statistics
Rodez are in significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Bastia have managed only 0.6 points per game over the same period. The hosts hold an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals per match with an xG of 1.42, whereas Bastia have posted very poor scoring numbers in away games, failing to score in 69% of them and averaging just 0.54 goals. Bastia also have a negative goal difference away from home (-6) and a mere 8% win rate, which, combined with their 18th position in the table, highlights the team's serious issues. The high draw percentage of both teams (46% for Rodez at home and 46% for Bastia away) makes a draw a realistic possibility as well. However, the hosts' superior form and quality of play point to their victory.
Rodez vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rodez played Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rodez: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bastia: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rodez scores 1.26 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.52 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rodez 67%, Bastia 26%. Over 2.5: Rodez 48%, Bastia 19%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Rodez has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.23. Rodez: 11.0 shots per match, Bastia: 11.3.
Match halves
Rodez: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.81. Bastia: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Rodez: 76-90+ (13 goals). Bastia: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rodez are in significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Bastia have managed only 0.6 points per game over the same period. The hosts hold an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals per match with an xG of 1.42, whereas Bastia have posted very poor scoring numbers in away games, failing to score in 69% of them and averaging just 0.54 goals. Bastia also have a negative goal difference away from home (-6) and a mere 8% win rate, which, combined with their 18th position in the table, highlights the team's serious issues. The high draw percentage of both teams (46% for Rodez at home and 46% for Bastia away) makes a draw a realistic possibility as well. However, the hosts' superior form and quality of play point to their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rodez | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rodez is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Rodez · 0.6 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rodez is 142% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Rodez · 0.52 goals / match - Bastia
Bastia is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Rodez · 1.11 goals / match - Bastia
Rodez scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Bastia scores in 37% of matches (10 of 27 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rodez
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rodez is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Rodez · 0.89 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rodez
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Rodez | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.44 | ▼ 1.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 72% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rodez 1 - 0 - 0 Bastia. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rodez vs Bastia?
The Ligue 2 match finished Rodez 1:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rodez vs Bastia?
Rodez score 1.26 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.52. The Ligue 2 average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Rodez's matches and 26% of Bastia's.
What form are Rodez and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Rodez have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bastia 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rodez vs Bastia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rodez vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.