Rodez vs Le Mans: match statistics
Le Mans presents clearly better form in the last five matches with a record of three wins and two draws (2.2 points per match), while Rodez has earned just 1.2 points per match with a single victory. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and have a positive away goal difference (+2), whereas the hosts are ranked 12th. Le Mans distinguishes itself with significantly better shooting efficiency in away matches (18% shot conversion vs 8% for Rodez at home) and scores an average of 1.75 goals on the road, surpassing Rodez's average at their own stadium (1.11). Rodez has a 44% draw rate at home, suggesting a tight contest, but current form and table position favor Le Mans. Taking all statistics into account, the guests have the advantage, though it is not overwhelming, hence a significant probability of a draw.
Rodez vs Le Mans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rodez played Le Mans in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rodez: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Le Mans: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rodez scores 1.17 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Le Mans scores 1.22 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rodez 67%, Le Mans 50%. Over 2.5: Rodez 50%, Le Mans 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rodez has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.27. Rodez: 11.7 shots per match, Le Mans: 11.1.
Match halves
Rodez: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72. Le Mans: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Rodez: 76-90+ (7 goals). Le Mans: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Le Mans presents clearly better form in the last five matches with a record of three wins and two draws (2.2 points per match), while Rodez has earned just 1.2 points per match with a single victory. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and have a positive away goal difference (+2), whereas the hosts are ranked 12th. Le Mans distinguishes itself with significantly better shooting efficiency in away matches (18% shot conversion vs 8% for Rodez at home) and scores an average of 1.75 goals on the road, surpassing Rodez's average at their own stadium (1.11). Rodez has a 44% draw rate at home, suggesting a tight contest, but current form and table position favor Le Mans. Taking all statistics into account, the guests have the advantage, though it is not overwhelming, hence a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rodez | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Mans is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Rodez · 2.2 pts / match - Le Mans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Mans is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Rodez · 0.94 goals / match - Le Mans
Rodez scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Le Mans scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rodez
Over / Under - Le Mans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Rodez · 1.61 pts / match - Le Mans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rodez
Le Mans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Rodez | Liga | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rodez 1 - 0 - 0 Le Mans. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rodez vs Le Mans?
The Ligue 2 match finished Rodez 1:1 Le Mans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rodez vs Le Mans?
Rodez score 1.17 goals per game on average and Le Mans 1.22. The Ligue 2 average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Rodez's matches and 50% of Le Mans's.
What form are Rodez and Le Mans in?
Over the last 5 games Rodez have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Le Mans 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rodez vs Le Mans?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.