Rodez vs Montpellier: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Rodez displays solid home form with a 55% draw rate at their own stadium and a good run in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Montpellier holds a better position in the table and a higher average ball possession (50% vs 42%), but poor away efficiency (FTS% 45%, only 0.73 goals per match). The hosts score more goals at home (1.09 vs 0.73), yet Rodez's high draw rate in home fixtures and the teams' similar xG values (1.38 vs 1.14) argue for a points split. Both teams are in positive recent form, which further increases the likelihood of a balanced match ending in a draw.
Rodez vs Montpellier: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rodez played Montpellier in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rodez: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Montpellier: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rodez scores 1.30 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Montpellier scores 1.22 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rodez 74%, Montpellier 43%. Over 2.5: Rodez 52%, Montpellier 26%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.24. Rodez: 10.7 shots per match, Montpellier: 11.8.
Match halves
Rodez: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.78. Montpellier: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Rodez: 76-90+ (10 goals). Montpellier: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Rodez displays solid home form with a 55% draw rate at their own stadium and a good run in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Montpellier holds a better position in the table and a higher average ball possession (50% vs 42%), but poor away efficiency (FTS% 45%, only 0.73 goals per match). The hosts score more goals at home (1.09 vs 0.73), yet Rodez's high draw rate in home fixtures and the teams' similar xG values (1.38 vs 1.14) argue for a points split. Both teams are in positive recent form, which further increases the likelihood of a balanced match ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rodez | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rodez is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Rodez · 1.8 pts / match - Montpellier
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rodez is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Rodez · 1.22 goals / match - Montpellier
Montpellier is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Rodez · 1.04 goals / match - Montpellier
Rodez scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Montpellier scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rodez
Over / Under - Montpellier
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rodez is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Rodez · 1 pts / match - Montpellier
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rodez
Montpellier
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Rodez | Liga | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rodez 0 - 0 - 1 Montpellier. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rodez vs Montpellier?
The Ligue 2 match finished Rodez 1:0 Montpellier. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rodez vs Montpellier?
Rodez score 1.30 goals per game on average and Montpellier 1.22. The Ligue 2 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Rodez's matches and 43% of Montpellier's.
What form are Rodez and Montpellier in?
Over the last 5 games Rodez have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Montpellier 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rodez vs Montpellier: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.