Italy - Serie AData current as of 23 October 2026

Roma vs Cagliari: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Roma vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Roma play Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Roma: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cagliari: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Roma scores 2.29 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Cagliari scores 0.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Roma 29%, Cagliari 29%. Over 2.5: Roma 57%, Cagliari 29%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Roma has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.14. Roma: 18.1 shots per match, Cagliari: 10.6.

Match halves

Roma: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29. Cagliari: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Roma: 76-90+ (4 goals). Cagliari: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.40)
(5.20)
(9.35)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.29Goals scored / match0.86
RomaCagliari
0.43Goals conceded / match1
RomaCagliari
55%Average possession41%
RomaCagliari
6Shots on target / match4
RomaCagliari

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.14Shots per match10.57
RomaCagliari
6Shots on target4
RomaCagliari
12.6%Shot conversion8.1%
RomaCagliari
55%Possession41%
RomaCagliari
2.02xG for1.14
RomaCagliari
1.18xG against2.04
RomaCagliari

Shooting quality

Roma: DominantCagliari: Balanced
RomaCagliari
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Roma is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Roma · 2 pts / match - Cagliari

Roma
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W29% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-0
2.43 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.02Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Cagliari
WWWDL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Roma is 166% better for: goals scored per match.

2.29 goals / match - Roma · 0.86 goals / match - Cagliari

Roma is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.43 goals / match - Roma · 1 goals / match - Cagliari

Roma scoring profile: strong

Roma scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Cagliari scoring profile: mixed

Cagliari scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).

16Goals scored (season)6
RomaCagliari
3Goals conceded (season)7
RomaCagliari
2.71Average goals in match1.86
RomaCagliari
8Goals scored (last 5)5
RomaCagliari
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
RomaCagliari

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
RomaCagliari
86%2 goals14%
RomaCagliari
29%3 goals0%
RomaCagliari
29%4 goals0%
RomaCagliari

How often they concede at least...

29%1 goal57%
RomaCagliari
14%2 goals14%
RomaCagliari
0%3 goals14%
RomaCagliari
0%4 goals14%
RomaCagliari

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
RomaCagliari
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RomaCagliari
43%Scored in both halves14%
RomaCagliari

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
RomaCagliari
40%BTTS - last 540%
RomaCagliari

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
RomaCagliari
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
RomaCagliari

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
RomaCagliari
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
RomaCagliari

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Roma is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.14 pts / match - Roma · 1.29 pts / match - Cagliari

Roma - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Cagliari - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.14Points per match (1st half)1.29
RomaCagliari
1Goals scored (1st half)0.43
RomaCagliari
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
RomaCagliari
1Average goals (1st half)0.86
RomaCagliari
100%Clean sheet before half-time57%
RomaCagliari
43%No goal before half-time57%
RomaCagliari

After half-time (2nd half)

2.29Points per match (2nd half)1.57
RomaCagliari
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
RomaCagliari
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
RomaCagliari
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1
RomaCagliari
71%Clean sheet after half-time71%
RomaCagliari
29%No goal after half-time57%
RomaCagliari

Roma - second-half results

71% W14% D14% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cagliari - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Roma - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cagliari - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Roma
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
77%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Roma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

RomaLigaCagliari
Average goals in match▼ 2.712.96▼ 1.86
Both teams scored▼ 29%57%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%60%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▲ 71%22%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%69%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time• 86%87%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Roma 1 - 0 - 1 Cagliari. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Roma and Cagliari play?

Roma face Cagliari on 27 October 2026 in Serie A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Roma and Cagliari?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 1, Cagliari won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Cagliari?

Roma score 2.29 goals per game on average and Cagliari 0.86. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Roma's matches and 29% of Cagliari's.

What form are Roma and Cagliari in?

Over the last 5 games Roma have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cagliari 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Cagliari?

The statistical background for Roma vs Cagliari — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.