Italy - Serie AStadio OlimpicoData current as of 16 October 2026

Roma vs Genoa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Roma vs Genoa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Roma play Genoa in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Olimpico.

Current form

Roma: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Genoa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Roma scores 2.33 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Genoa scores 0.83 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Roma 33%, Genoa 67%. Over 2.5: Roma 67%, Genoa 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Roma has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.20. Roma: 18.7 shots per match, Genoa: 11.5.

Match halves

Roma: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.17. Genoa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Roma: 76-90+ (4 goals). Genoa: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.34)
(5.91)
(9.90)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.33Goals scored / match0.83
RomaGenoa
0.5Goals conceded / match1.83
RomaGenoa
54%Average possession46%
RomaGenoa
6.17Shots on target / match3.17
RomaGenoa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.67Shots per match11.5
RomaGenoa
6.17Shots on target3.17
RomaGenoa
12.5%Shot conversion7.2%
RomaGenoa
54%Possession46%
RomaGenoa
2.08xG for1.2
RomaGenoa
1.23xG against1.68
RomaGenoa

Shooting quality

Roma: AttackingGenoa: Balanced
RomaGenoa
Accuracy (shots on target)33%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Roma is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Roma · 0.8 pts / match - Genoa

Roma
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Genoa
LLDLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Roma is 181% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Roma · 0.83 goals / match - Genoa

Roma is 266% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Roma · 1.83 goals / match - Genoa

Roma scoring profile: very strong

Roma scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Genoa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Genoa scoring profile: mixed

Genoa scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)5
RomaGenoa
3Goals conceded (season)11
RomaGenoa
2.83Average goals in match2.67
RomaGenoa
10Goals scored (last 5)5
RomaGenoa
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
RomaGenoa

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
RomaGenoa
83%2 goals17%
RomaGenoa
33%3 goals0%
RomaGenoa
33%4 goals0%
RomaGenoa

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
RomaGenoa
17%2 goals50%
RomaGenoa
0%3 goals17%
RomaGenoa
0%4 goals17%
RomaGenoa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
RomaGenoa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RomaGenoa
50%Scored in both halves0%
RomaGenoa

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RomaGenoa
40%BTTS - last 580%
RomaGenoa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
RomaGenoa
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
RomaGenoa

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
RomaGenoa
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
RomaGenoa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Roma is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - Roma · 0.67 pts / match - Genoa

Roma - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Genoa - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)0.67
RomaGenoa
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.5
RomaGenoa
0Goals conceded (1st half)1
RomaGenoa
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.5
RomaGenoa
100%Clean sheet before half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%No goal before half-time67%
RomaGenoa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)0.83
RomaGenoa
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
RomaGenoa
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
RomaGenoa
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.17
RomaGenoa
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%No goal after half-time67%
RomaGenoa

Roma - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Genoa - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Roma - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Genoa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Roma
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Genoa
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Roma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Genoa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

RomaLigaGenoa
Average goals in match• 2.832.87▼ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 33%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%57%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 67%21%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 67%67%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Roma 1 - 0 - 1 Genoa. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Roma and Genoa play?

Roma face Genoa on 17 October 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Olimpico. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Roma and Genoa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 1, Genoa won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Genoa?

Roma score 2.33 goals per game on average and Genoa 0.83. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Roma's matches and 67% of Genoa's.

What form are Roma and Genoa in?

Over the last 5 games Roma have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Genoa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Genoa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Roma vs Genoa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.